07/18/2026
๐ Bank of Canada Holds Interest Rate at 2.25% โ What It Means for You
The Bank of Canada has once again held its overnight interest rate at 2.25%, continuing its cautious approach as it balances inflation with a slowing but resilient Canadian economy.
What Could Lead to Higher Rates?
While most economists expect rates to remain unchanged for now, a future increase could occur if:
โฝ Energy prices rise significantly, driving inflation higher.
๐ Inflation remains stubbornly above the Bank's 2% target.
๐ผ Canada's economy and job market strengthen more than expected.
Why Most Experts Still Expect Rates to Stay Put
The current outlook suggests the Bank of Canada will continue taking a wait-and-see approach. Inflation has eased considerably, economic growth remains modest, and unemployment is still above historical lows. As a result, most major Canadian banks expect rates to remain stable through the rest of 2026, with any future changes likely to depend on incoming economic data.
What This Means for Homeowners and Buyers
Variable-rate mortgages will continue to follow future Bank of Canada decisions.
Fixed mortgage rates will remain influenced by movements in the bond market.
Mortgage affordability continues to be one of the biggest challenges for Canadians.
Recent surveys highlight today's reality:
๐ก 75% of Canadians are being more cautious about buying a home.
๐ฐ 78% believe homeownership requires greater financial sacrifices than previous generations.
โ๏ธ 62% are delaying vacations to save for a home.
๐๏ธ 69% are postponing major purchases.
๐ค 82% believe professional mortgage advice is more important than ever.
My Advice
There may never be a "perfect" time to buy, renew, or refinance. The key is having a strategy that's tailored to your financial goals and current market conditions.
If you're thinking about purchasing a home, renewing your mortgage, refinancing, or simply want to understand how today's interest rates affect your plans, I'd be happy to help you explore your options.
Feel free to reach out anytime for a personalized, no-obligation consultation.
Stay informed. Plan ahead. Make confident real estate and mortgage decisions