12/04/2020
In the current coronavirus predicament, it is natural to feel uneasy.
A looming recession, and human's nature to counter loss aversion are some of the reasons why it is tempting to take a short term view on things.
So in time of uncertainty and volatility, it can be helpful to take a step back to adjust your perspective with a long term view.
With this in mind, let's look at an example:
Nassim Mansion is an old grand dame sitting atop Nassim Hill, one of the ultra exclusive locations in Orchard.
All the way back in 2000, this 7,115 sqft penthouse was bought for S$805 psf, at S$5.73 million.
Now, if you are familiar with the Singapore property cycle, you'd know that the Q2 2000 was the peak of the market following the Asia financial crisis in 1997.
It was then sold at a loss in early 2004 at S$5.2 million.
Here's the STUNNER:
It was sold again in 2007 at the next peak of the market for a mind blowing S$16 MILLION - that's more than S$10 million PROFIT for the owner, or almost TRIPLE its original value!!
Imaging ....
How you's feel if you were that guy who sold it for a loss in 2004, only to see it sold for TRIPLE its price in 2007?
A highly profitable deal ... if only he can wait.
One of Warren Buffett's famous sayings is this :
" Our favourite holding period is forever."
What he trying to convey is if you don't feel comfortable owning a stock for 10 years, you shouldn't own it for 10 minutes.
This long term view is one of the reason why he has been so successful, and became the role model for esteemed investors.
If you were to really zoom into the property cycle, you'll see that there are always peaks and dips. When you take a long term view over your property, the higher your chances are of exiting with a profit.