30/04/2020
https://www.edgeprop.sg/property-news/resale-hdb-volume-drops-7-1q2020-worse-performance-expected-next-quarter
SINGAPORE (EDGEPROP) - The number of HDB resale transactions for 1Q2020 fell by 7.0% to 5,893, from 6,339 in 4Q2019, according to the housing statistics released by HDB on April 24. On a yearly basis, the resale transaction volume in 1Q2020 was 21.9% higher.
According to Lee Sze Teck, director of research at Huttons Asia, the bump in y-o-y resale transactions could have been due to private residential projects which obtained their Temporary Occupation Permits in 4Q2019 and 1Q2020, resulting in more HDB upgraders needing to dispose of their flat.
โHDB upgraders could be more willing to lower their asking price as the time pressure to meet the ABSD [additional buyerโs stamp duty] timeline increases,โ says Lee.
He suggests that HDB should consider extending the six-month period for HDB owners upgrading to an executive condo, while the six-month period to claim back ABSD should be reviewed as well, in view of the โcircuit breakerโ measures to tackle the Covid-19 outbreak.
Meanwhile, the resale price index for the first three months of the year remained unchanged on a quarterly basis.
โPrices of HDB resale flats have been rather stable as major price fluctuations have been few and far between in recent years. Over the past 20 quarters, the q-o-q price changes had been within a narrow band of between -1% and 1%,โ says Christine Sun, head of research and consultancy at OrangeTee and Tie.
According to Sun, the price affordability of most HDB flats remains attractive to some buyers, especially those looking for cheaper housing options, or a smaller housing loan considering the current economic uncertainty.
โOverall prices of resale flats may enter the negative territory should the health crisis persist and unemployment creep up. Property values may hold steady for areas of higher demand such as those located near MRT stations, amenities or the city centre,โ says Sun.
Meanwhile, the resale price index for the first three months of the year remained unchanged on a quarterly basis