01/04/2025
I should also mention that some ETFs make use of synthetics and active management. If you are not comfortable with that, do leave them alone.
I have also told people to look elsewhere if they want to invest in real estate for passive income. The rental income outlook for Singapore's residential real estate is poor, and this is even worse for certain commercial and industrial properties. However, since their capital exercises dilute your units and, consequently, your returns, I also advise avoiding S-REITs. In Singapore, real estate is not an income but a capital-gain play.
For retirees planning for their retirement, they should look for high-yield dividend ETFs that are neither synthetic nor fee-reducing.
If you’ve been following this page, you’ll know I’m a strong advocate of dividend investing as a source of retirement income. However, unlike most investors, I believe that to maximize returns, we must take calculated risks. Even in retirement.
This is why I don’t invest in Dividend Kings or Aristocrats. The logic is simple. While these companies have a long track record of increasing dividends and avoiding cuts, their average returns range from just 1.5% to 4% - barely keeping up with inflation. Instead, I focus on high-yield dividend ETFs, many of which offer annual yields above 20%, with some exceeding 50%. By investing strategically, I can generate up to 10 times the income of traditional dividend stocks in a given year.
Now, before you dismiss this approach, hear me out.
The appeal of Dividend Kings and Aristocrats lies in their perceived stability. As mature companies with consistent earnings, they offer reassurance that capital is safe. However, historical data tells a different story. Dividend Kings have an annualized volatility of 12% to 20%, while Dividend Aristocrats range from 15% to 25%. In other words, capital losses can and do happen. For comparison, the high-yield dividend ETF TSLY has an annualized volatility of 26.14%. Not significantly higher.
Consider this. This if a market downturn causes a Dividend King or Aristocrat to lose 20% of its value, it could take up to 6.5 years of dividends just to break even. In contrast, a high-yield ETF like TSLY, which has paid a 50.7% annual dividend, would recover the same 20% loss in under six months.
High-yield ETFs aren’t for everyone. But for those willing to take calculated risks and apply disciplined strategies, they offer a compelling path to accelerated wealth generation. The question isn’t whether this approach is conventional, it’s whether it aligns with your income goals and risk tolerance.