12/05/2022
For the week of November 27 – December 3, 2022, contract activity in the Metro DC area fell by 34.7% compared to the same seven-day period last year. Even though, once again, all six jurisdictions had significantly fewer contracts, the 34.7% drop is the lowest percentage drop since mid-September.
Key Takeaways:
• A little stability in mortgage interest rates goes a long way. After a highly volatile last three months, rates have remained steady over the last couple of weeks.
• Even though the current 30-year fixed rate is hovering right around 6.5% when it was 3.11% last year, that stability has given buyers a little more confidence.
• And once again, we saw a 25% reduction in the number of new listings coming on the market compared to the same week last year.
Why it Matters:
• Remember that COVID took a lot of the seasonal variation in the market we typically see, so the drop in contract activity now is primarily a reflection of an expected seasonal slowdown.
• This is a market driven by purchasers seeking value. The frenzy of last year, when buyers would seemingly pay just about anything, is over, but they will act when the value is there. An amazing 43% of all resale homes that went to settlement in November sold at or above their original list price.
• The opportunity for sellers is clear: price reasonably, and buyers will find you. Overprice, and buyers will run the other way.