10/16/2022
— SEASONAL REVIEW —
Summer/Q3 2022
Tune in to our open Q&A this morning at 10am (link in bio) for a deeper dive.
Keep in mind: these numbers are for the entire Portland Metro area and different neighborhoods and property types can have unique submarket conditions.
TOP TWO
1. The numbers on this highlight are big.
We’re seeing change numbers like 43.9%, 100.0%, and 26.9%. What does that mean? We track changes over the last quarter/season as well as over the same time last year. Big numbers means big changes. We’ve been waiting to see these numbers come out for a couple of months now while we experienced significant shifts in the opportunities to pass on stewardship of a home or land (sell) or take on stewardship of a home or land (buy). The “market” has “cooled.”
2. Where is the outlier? Price.
Almost all of our data here reflects a cooled environment. Inventory is at 2 and is up 100% (doubled) from Summer 2021. Closed Sales and New Listings are down from 13.7% to 26.9% over last quarter and this time last year, but with Closed Sales decreasing more than New Listings, meaning while there are fewer sales, there are fewer new listings and they are outpacing sales (cue: higher inventory). But, prices are still up a few percent over this time last year. In a few months in our Fall review we may end up seeing that the prices continue to drop a bit over this quarter and last year. For now, we see some resilience in values despite some pricing slows.
TAKEAWAYS
Of course there is a conversation to be had about the big influencer here — interest rates — and we’ll be talking about that this morning at 10am. Nonetheless, the truth is that the large mix of variables and factors that go into what it takes to take on and pass on stewardship of a home (buy and sell) is an overall more balanced set of dynamics, which means more opportunity and flexibility for Buyers than we’ve seen in years.
Have questions about interest rates? Reach out. We can give you more thoughts and direct you to some lenders who can dig deep with you on what the interest rates mean for you, because it is your specific financial situation that matters.
w&s