10/30/2025
It's been a long time since I last posted here, and I think it's time to get back to it....
As of 8:00 AM this morning, the 30-year average 30-year Conventional fixed rate, according to Mortgage News Daily, was around 6.15%. This was, more or less, the lowest rate we have seen in a year, as they continued the downward trend we have seen over the past 90 days. By 5:00 pm this afternoon, we were closer to 6.30% for the same 30-year Conventional fixed rate. This is confusing to most market participants, given that the Federal Reserve actually cut rates today. This leaves most people in the market confused and wondering, What gives? After all, how do rates get cut by the Fed, and the lending rates actually go up by a fair amount?
First, you have to understand that the Fed rate (set by the Federal Reserve) has very little to do with mortgage lending rates. The Fed Rate is a reference to the overnight lending rate that the Federal Reserve Bank charges to banks for overnight loans. The mortgage rates for loans are more directly controlled by the 10 Year Treasury Bond Rates, and not the Fed Rate. 10-Year. It is more accurate to say that an inverse relationship exists between the Fed Rate and mortgage rates, especially at this time. The reasons are kinda confusing for most people outside the Financial world of lending, but this video does a great job of explaining how this works..
In this video, we'll be discussing how bond yields affect mortgage rates. When bond yields go up, it makes it more expensive for banks to borrow money, which...