The Phoenix Flip Club

The Phoenix Flip Club Our objective is to create a relaxed, casual environment that fosters networking.

It is a monthly real estate networking event designed to bring together active house flippers, wholesalers, agents, contractors, and related professionals in Phoenix.

04/28/2026

I compared the numbers for Tucson vs. Phoenix from an investor's perspective, and the answer isn’t as obvious as most people think.

Phoenix is still one of the strongest real estate markets in Arizona:
✔ Larger inventory
✔ Easier scaling
✔ Strong long-term growth story

But for investors prioritizing cash flow with a smaller starting capital base, Tucson deserves serious consideration:
✔ Lower entry prices
✔ Multifamily cap rates around 5–6.5%
✔ Strong year-round rental demand driven by the University of Arizona

There’s no single “best” market.

The right market depends on what you’re optimizing for.

I break down the full comparison in the video.




















04/20/2026

There’s an interesting pattern that shows up every time the market shifts.

When things are moving fast, people feel confident, even if they’re overpaying or rushing decisions.

When things slow down, that confidence disappears.

Even though, in many ways, the conditions are more favorable.

More inventory means more options.

Longer time on market means more room to evaluate.

Seller concessions mean more flexibility in the deal.

But all of that only helps if you know how to use it.

Otherwise, it just feels like uncertainty.

A softer market doesn’t guarantee good deals.

It just gives you the ability to actually make decisions instead of reacting.

That’s where preparation starts to matter.

We put together a checklist to help with that:

27 things every buyer should verify before closing.

👉 LINK IN COMMENTS

There was a time when you could buy almost any property… and still win.Prices were going up so fast that even bad deals ...
04/16/2026

There was a time when you could buy almost any property… and still win.

Prices were going up so fast that even bad deals worked out.

That time is over.

Now?
If the numbers don’t make sense on day one, they usually don’t magically fix themselves later.

The biggest mistake I keep seeing is how people calculate “cash flow.”
They skip the boring parts (vacancy, maintenance, reserves)…
and only realize the problem when something breaks.

I wrote a full breakdown of what actually changed in the market, and how to adapt if you’re getting started today:

Read the full article link in the comments

04/15/2026

There was a time when the market could make up for a weak deal.

Prices were rising fast, and even properties with thin margins ended up working out.

But that environment created a dangerous habit, relying on appreciation instead of fundamentals.

Today, that approach carries much more risk.

A strong deal does not look good if everything goes right.

It’s one that still works if things slow down.

If the timeline extends.
If costs increase.
If the market doesn’t move.

A simple question to ask:

If appreciation stopped completely, would this deal still make sense?

If not, it might not be as solid as it looks.

We put together a checklist to help evaluate deals more clearly:

27 things every buyer should verify before closing.

👉 link in comments

04/10/2026

One of the biggest misconceptions in real estate is that losing money comes from taking big risks.

In reality, it usually comes from small risks that weren’t fully understood.

A slightly optimistic comp.
A contractor you haven’t worked with before.
A loan structure you didn’t fully plan around.
Costs that didn’t seem significant at the time.

Individually, they don’t look like deal-breakers.

Together, they are.

The difference with experienced investors isn’t that they avoid risk; it’s that they recognize it early.

If you’re getting started, the goal isn’t to find perfect deals.

It’s to learn how to evaluate them properly.

We put together a checklist to help with that:

27 things every buyer should verify before closing.

👉 LINK IN COMMENTS

04/09/2026

There’s a point where consuming more real estate content stops helping.

Not because the information is wrong, but because it’s incomplete.

Most free content teaches concepts, not processes.

So when you finally sit down to analyze a real deal, there’s no structure to follow.

You’re guessing more than you think.

That’s where mistakes start.

A simple way to improve quickly:

Pick one deal and try to analyze it from start to finish.

Not perfectly, just completely.

Write down your assumptions. Challenge them. Stress test the numbers.

That exercise will teach you more than hours of passive content.

If you want a starting point, we put together a checklist:

27 things every buyer should verify before closing. link in comments

04/06/2026

The most expensive real estate education isn’t a course.

It’s a bad deal.

I’ve seen both sides: people who invest in learning and avoid costly mistakes, and people who jump straight into deals and learn the hard way.

In real estate, small miscalculations add up fast:

• Overestimating ARV
• Underestimating rehab costs
• Ignoring holding costs

Most of these aren’t random; they come from not having a clear framework.

If you're getting started, having structure matters more than consuming more content.

We put together a free checklist:
27 things every buyer should verify before closing.

You can download it here: bit.ly/4tB9Eum

03/04/2026

A lot of real estate rules were created in a very different market environment.

The 70% rule is one of them.

For years, it worked well because:

• Interest rates were low
• Rehab costs were stable
• Appraisals often supported aggressive offers

But in today’s environment, margins are tighter.

Higher borrowing costs, shifting construction pricing, and more conservative appraisals mean that many investors have adjusted their buy boxes.

Some are underwriting closer to 60–65% of ARV, depending on the deal.

The formula didn’t disappear.

The assumptions changed.

Curious to hear from investors in different markets:

What percentage are you buying at right now?






Arizona rentals don’t typically fail because of purchase price.They fail because of underwriting assumptions.We see this...
03/02/2026

Arizona rentals don’t typically fail because of purchase price.

They fail because of underwriting assumptions.

We see this repeatedly:

Investors model cash flow based on rent and mortgage.
But ignore climate-driven operating costs.

In Arizona, summer utilities, water usage, HOA adjustments, and seasonal maintenance can materially affect performance.

A $400/month projected margin can compress quickly if heat, water, and seasonality aren’t factored into underwriting.

Arizona isn’t simply a lower-cost alternative to coastal markets.
It’s a different operating environment entirely.

For those investing in the Southwest,
What cost surprised you most on your first property?

03/02/2026

Arizona rentals don’t fail in winter.
They fail in summer.

Many investors underwrite Arizona like it’s just “cheaper California.”

That’s the mistake.

That $400/month “cash flow” can shrink fast when:

• Summer utilities spike
• HOA costs adjust
• Monsoon repairs show up

Arizona isn’t just about lower purchase prices.
It’s a completely different operating environment.

If you’re not underwriting for heat, water, and seasonality…
Your cash flow is theoretical.

Arizona investors, what surprised you most on your first deal?

👇 Tell us below.

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