05/30/2026
Here's the latest Real Estate and Mortgage News:
📊 National Mortgage & Macro Trends
Rates Stay Sidelined Above 6.5%: Mortgage purchase rates dipped slightly this week, with the 30-year fixed rate averaging 6.56% according to Bankrate’s latest data. Despite minor fluctuations, rates remain stubbornly range-bound due to persistent core inflation and geopolitical friction pushing up global oil prices.
The "Higher-for-Longer" Reality: With the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield hovering near 4.56%, economists from Fannie Mae and the MBA expect rates to stay above the 6% threshold for the vast majority of 2026.
The K-Shaped Housing Surge: National reports underscore that luxury buyers (unfazed by financing costs due to liquid stock wealth) are driving most spring transactions. New luxury listings grew 2% year-over-year, while traditional middle-market listings saw a mere 0.6% uptick, leaving entry-level inventory tight.
🏡 California Market Trends
A Tale of Two Markets: The latest figures from the California Association of Realtors (C.A.R.) show that California’s median single-family home price hit a new high of $914,810. While existing home sales posted a 4.1% year-over-year increase—driven heavily by luxury properties over $2 million—the first-time buyer segment remains significantly locked out.
Sellers Cutting Prices: Realtor.com’s fresh spring progress report highlights a multi-year recovery in inventory, with active listings rising across the state. This slower, more balanced market has forced an increase in price cuts on homes that sit beyond the typical "days on market" threshold.
Insurance Pressures Loom: C.A.R. analysts are tracking growing concerns over building operational costs. The California FAIR Plan (the insurer of last resort) is widely expected to push through a massive 30% premium hike this fall, squeezing affordability further.
Folsom Specific
127 active resale listings on the market as of May 30, average 35 days on market - down from 154 in May of last year
55 pending sale since May 1, average 23 days on market - down from 72 last year
70 closed sales in May, averaging 26 days on market - same number as last year
Takeaways: Many home owners are choosing to stay put, enjoying their low interest rates, and/or unwilling to list during tough economic time... The drop in pending sales may be due to the war, with buyers being more cautious until military tensions ease, along with lack of inventory....the number of closed sales proves that people still need and are willing to pay for housing.
Bonus stat: 30 of the 55 pending sales, and 31 of closed sales had multiple offers.
What does that tell you?