06/16/2026
🚨 Today is the day. Kevin Warsh chairs his first FOMC meeting as the new Fed Chair, and the mortgage market is watching closely.
Most people will scroll past this news and move on. But if you're a buyer, a homeowner, or a real estate professional trying to make sense of where rates are going, this meeting matters more than the headlines are letting on.
The numbers say there's a 97% probability that rates hold steady at 3.50% to 3.75%. But here's what the numbers don't tell you: what Warsh signals in that room today could set the tone for every rate decision that follows, and whether bond markets trust that direction is what actually moves mortgage rates for buyers and homeowners across the country.
If you're already subscribed to my newsletter, yesterday's edition broke all of this down in detail. Go dig it up from your inbox because it's worth the read before Thursday.
A new Fed Chair doesn't just inherit a policy. He inherits the market's expectations, and how he communicates in that press conference today will tell us a lot about what the next six to twelve months could look like for mortgage rates, housing affordability, and the real cost of buying a home right now.
That's exactly what we're breaking down in this week's Truth Behind the Headlines webinar on Thursday, June 18th. I'll translate what happened in that room and tell you what it actually means for buyers, homeowners, and anyone watching mortgage rates, home loans, and the housing market right now.
If you want in, just comment WEBINAR below and I'll send you the link to register.