Moneyball Austin

Website Contact the business

Moneyball Austin šŸ“ˆ 13 Years Swing Trading & Traveling
šŸ”„ I Create Consistently Profitable Traders
šŸ‘‡Trading Masterclass
https://moneyballtradingtraining.com/masterclass-optin

Sharing My Friday Watchlist From Group On News:- USD Unemployment came out higher than expected 4.2% vs forecasted ...
02/10/2026

Sharing My Friday Watchlist From Group On

News:
- USD Unemployment came out higher than expected 4.2% vs forecasted 4.1% (previous 4.3%)
- NFP Numbers came out lower than expected at 29k vs forecasted 89k (previous 133k)
- Overage Hourly Earnings M/M came out lower at 0.1% vs forecasted 0.3% (previous 0.3%)

Investors will look at this dovish report as a lower chance of the FED increasing rate with concern of stagflation. Dollar selling off, Gold & Stocks catching a bid.

Stock Index:
- Aggressive 30minute RBR created on the ES around $7,760. Would like to see how price respects this move over the next 1 hours. If so, then small risk buying opportunity. This 30minute/1hr demand level can also be used as a HTF and wait for scalps on the 1/5minute TF.

Gold:
- Moved my SL up a bit to half risk on the gold long mentioned 2 days ago with my TP around $4,250. This is a confirmation 2.0 longs signal created from the NFP numbers around $4,220. This level could also be used by traders looking to add to their position, or scalpers can use it as an HTF and wait for 1/5-minute confirmation.

Dollar:
- A market I like is AUD and NZD currencies with price inside 4hr levels of demand + max short position. Looking at a small-risk buy setup around 0.693 area, but would like to see how price closes over the next 1 hour.

- NZD is also an interesting market going based on the "technicals" daily TF overextended + inside daily demand. This would be the aggressive setup on the 1hr TF, without waiting for daily confirmation. Personally, I like AUD more and would instead like to check back on NZD over the weekend.

01/10/2026

Supply demand trade review using a combination of fundamentals, technicals, and sentiment (cot reports)

Yes, I did lose this trade, but let me know if you would have done things differently šŸ¤”

Picked up 1 mini contract on gold (small risk) with price pulling back into 1hr demand. This is not the best level of de...
30/09/2026

Picked up 1 mini contract on gold (small risk) with price pulling back into 1hr demand.

This is not the best level of demand but I'm going back on price pulling back into daily-level demand, also where banks added into longs previously, and also recent economic news regarding lower PCE, poor JOLTS job openings, and lower Consumer confidence numbers.

TP around the opposing level of 1hr/4hr/daily level of supply around $4,280.

If price happens to SL me out (which it probably will, since it's a 3:1 reward-to-risk unless I manage to move SL), then I'll probably get filled on the EUR long.

EUR / DXY Long Idea Analysis From Our Sunday Meeting: Technicals:- EUR sitting inside daily demand + DXY correlationFu...
30/09/2026

EUR / DXY Long Idea Analysis From Our Sunday Meeting:

Technicals:
- EUR sitting inside daily demand + DXY correlation

Fundamentals/Sentiment:
- COT reports nearing MAX short. Last time, 2 months ago, we were at 277k, and banks offloaded shorts, so I'm anticipating the same thing, with price also inside technical demand.
- Mixed fundamentals are strong for DXY; the Fed is hawkish, but recent poor JOLTS data.

Overall:
- Anticipating a reversal this week, but need confirmation. Traders might be looking at EUR or other currencies for possible buys against the DXY.
- Yes, price DID take out the daily level of demand on the EUR of 1.37 area, but price did not close below so I like longs targeting a reversal.

28/09/2026

Any markets or setups you guys looking at for the week?

Trading News For The Week šŸ“ŠšŸ“°BOJ MINUTES (MON)- BoJ releases minutes from its July meeting, when it hiked rates 25bps to ...
28/09/2026

Trading News For The Week šŸ“ŠšŸ“°

BOJ MINUTES (MON)
- BoJ releases minutes from its July meeting, when it hiked rates 25bps to 1.25% by an 8ā€“1 vote. Watch for comments on inflation, economic conditions, and the path for further hikes.

RBA POLICY ANNOUNCEMENT (TUE)
- Markets are pricing ~92% odds of a 25bps hike to 4.60%. The RBA has remained hawkish, with inflation still elevated and recent CPI data coming in hotter than expected.

UK LABOUR PARTY CONFERENCE (WED)
- PM Burnham's speech could provide clues on the government's economic plans and potential election timing ahead of the Autumn Budget.

AUSTRALIAN CPI (WED)
- Headline CPI is expected to rise to 4.0% YoY from 3.5%, while Trimmed Mean CPI is expected to remain at 3.6%.

US PCE PRICE INDEX (WED)
- August headline PCE is expected at 3.7% YoY, with monthly growth of 0.4%. Core PCE is expected to rise 0.3% MoM. Inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target.

JAPANESE TANKAN SURVEY (THU)
- Large Manufacturer sentiment is expected to improve slightly, while Non-Manufacturers are expected to weaken. Tech/AI demand remains supportive for manufacturing.

SWISS CPI (THU)
- September inflation follows the SNB's decision to hold rates. August CPI was 0.8% YoY, with imported inflation and energy costs contributing to the upside.

US ISM MANUFACTURING (THU)
- Manufacturing PMI is expected to rise slightly to 55.0 from 54.6. The recent S&P Global flash PMI showed a sharp improvement to 57.0.

TOKYO CPI (FRI)
- Core CPI is expected to remain around 1.8% YoY, keeping inflation close to the BoJ's 2% target.

EUROZONE CPI (FRI)
- Preliminary September HICP is expected to rise to 3.5ā€“3.8% YoY from 3.2%, with recent PMIs showing increased price pressures.

US NFP (FRI)
- Payrolls are expected to rise by 100K in September, with unemployment holding around 4.1%. Average hourly earnings are expected to rise 0.3% MoM / 3.2% YoY. Watch for revisions to August payrolls, which could significantly change the market reaction.

My problem with using only technicals is that it often lacks a significant trading edge.Software or AI bots can already ...
25/09/2026

My problem with using only technicals is that it often lacks a significant trading edge.

Software or AI bots can already mechanically take a trade setup for you when you have 5/5 things perfectly lined up.

Now, I'm not completely against it; in fact, it makes up roughly 60% of my trading, but I use it as a market-timing tool or a baseline theory for my analysis.

NOT just 100% technicals.

Instead, I like to use a combination of multiple different edges such as Fundamentals, sentiment, and discretion.

I just dropped a 10-minute full guide breaking down the exact 4 that I use and how I use them.

You'll learn:
- What a real trading edge actually is.
- How I use each of the 4 edges to filter bad trades
- Why Discretion is the multiplier that ties it all together
- How to combine them so you stop jumping system to system

No fluff. I walk through 2-3 trade reviews and show you how I stack them to find, filter, and execute winning swing trades.

Sharing a bit of the trading and traveling life because for me it was never about buying a luxury car and make 10-20k pe...
24/09/2026

Sharing a bit of the trading and traveling life because for me it was never about buying a luxury car and make 10-20k per monthā€¦

It was simply just the ability to be my own boss and travel around the world.

New adventures always around the corner.

22/09/2026

How To Build Trading Confidence

Traders often think taking more trades, more experience will give them clarity and confidence in their trading

WRONG

You need to build a track recording trading a system that has an edge in the market. Month after month as the results come in you build confidence.

If youā€™re looking to trade with confidence and trade a system that has edge then comment ā€œEDGEā€ and Iā€™ll send you a training.

21/09/2026

These past 2 months have been some of the slowest in years for my trading. I've taken about 4 total trades since the beginning of August.

Iā€™m not dealing with issues like fear or information overload. The main issue is that I havenā€™t had strong enough confidence in the correlation between multiple edges within a single trade setup. Especially with the lack of volume and unpredictable volatility in todays markets.

Everyone says you should ā€œsit on your hands,ā€ but thatā€™s easier said than done. At the end of the day, if you want to be a trader and make income from it, you eventually have to take trades.

Most traders would probably start forcing trades at this point. But I think one thing that helps is knowing you donā€™t rely solely on trading income.

Thatā€™s why I donā€™t recommend treating trading as your main source of income, but rather as a 2nd or 3rd income stream.

Yes, trading can eventually become your main source of income, but having other income sources can take a lot of the pressure and stress off.

Lastly, donā€™t forget that sitting in cash is one of the most powerful positions you can be in.

Address

Sapa
Sa Pa
330000

Website

Alerts

Be the first to know and let us send you an email when Moneyball Austin posts news and promotions. Your email address will not be used for any other purpose, and you can unsubscribe at any time.

Contact The Business

Send a message to Moneyball Austin:

Shortcuts

Share