07/03/2025
Forecast track maps for Tropical Cyclone Alfred are now published hourly on our website. Find the latest here: bom.gov.au/cyclone
🌀 Tropical Cyclone Alfred is currently located 105km east-south-east of Brisbane and 75km east-north-east of the Gold Coast.
Alfred is a category 2 system, moving at 7km/hr slowly towards the south-east Queensland coast.
Alfred is most likely to cross over the Moreton Bay Islands Saturday morning before crossing the mainland coast, most likely between Noosa and Beenleigh later during Saturday.
⚠️ A warning zone is current for Double Island Point in Queensland to Yamba in New South Wales, including Brisbane, Gold Coast, Sunshine Coast, Byron Bay and Ballina but not including Gympie or Grafton.
🌧️ Rainfall, wind and ocean impacts are likely to persist today and over the weekend.
Heavy rainfall bands are continuing to develop over south-east Queensland and north-east New South Wales.
Heavy to locally intense rainfall which may lead to dangerous and life-threatening flash flooding is likely to develop this evening and increase into Saturday. Once Alfred crosses the coast, it is likely to weaken below tropical cyclone strength later on Saturday.
However, heavy to locally intense rainfall is expected to continue near and south of the system centre during the weekend.
Separate Severe Weather Warning, Flood Watches, and Flood Warnings are current for southeast Queensland and northeast New South Wales.
🌊 Abnormally high tides are likely to continue causing minor flooding of coastal low lying areas between Double Island Point and Ballina, particularly during tonight's (early Saturday) high tide.
Damaging surf leading to significant beach erosion remains likely for the open beaches between Double Island Point and Grafton, and further south over the New South Wales coast.
Separate Coastal Hazard and Hazardous Surf warnings are current for south-east Queensland and New South Wales coasts.
💨 Gales with damaging wind gusts to 120km/hr are occurring near the coast between Cape Moreton and Yamba. Gales with damaging wind gusts to 120km/hr are expected to extend to adjacent inland areas between Beerburrum and Ballina during tonight. These winds may extend to exposed coastal locations further north to Double Island Point tonight or during Saturday morning as Alfred approaches the coast.
Destructive wind gusts of up to 155km/hr to develop about the Moreton Bay Islands and exposed coastal location on the northern Gold Coast from tonight, as Alfred's destructive core approaches the coast. The destructive winds may persist until Alfred crosses the coast early Saturday morning.
Although Alfred is expected to weaken and move inland during Saturday, damaging wind gusts may continue, particularly over elevated terrain, during Saturday. A separate Severe Weather Warning is current.
For more information and the latest tropical cyclone forecast, visit www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/
