03/11/2024
✨MARKET UPDATE ✨
(➡️ for more graphs)
Activity has picked up significantly since the beginning of the new year as a result of pent-up demand from all the would-be buyers who paused their search during the period of rate increases.
“Sales are up, market conditions have tightened quite a bit, and there has been anecdotal evidence of renewed competition among buyers; however, in areas where sales have shot up most over the last two months, prices are still trending lower,” said Shaun Cathcart, CREA’s senior economist. “Taken together, these trends suggest a market that is starting to turn a corner but is still working through the weakness of the last two years.”
Understanding the phases of a market cycle and referring to historical patterns as a guide can provide valuable insights. According to “Mortgage Sandbox,” the economic real estate cycle involves four distinct phases: 1) recovery, 2) expansion, 3) recession, and 4) excess supply.
Market indicators suggest we are in the “recovery” phase. This phase comes immediately after prices hit the bottom of a cycle and levelled-off. Sales data indicates that the “bottom” of the market was November/December. During the recovery phase, the real estate market transitions from a buyer’s market to a balanced market.
So, if you’re a buyer, you may want to consider making a purchase sooner rather than later to be able to take full advantage of the most favorable market conditions. If you are a seller who has been waiting for the market pick up again, it would be a good idea to begin the process of getting your property ready for the market so that you are poised to embrace the flood of pent-up demand that has been waiting for the economic climate to improve even just a smidge. The next phase in the cycle is expansion. And, not only has the demand continued to build despite the slow market we are coming out of, it’s also important to remember they still aren’t building enough shelter to come even close to matching the need for it. If you are both a buyer and a seller, it would be a good idea to act sooner rather than later to be able to enjoy the benefits that a balanced market brings for both sides of the transaction