03/25/2026
Housing Need vs. Housing Reality in Mid-Vancouver Island
BC housing policy is pushing for more homes.
The challenge is not whether more housing is needed. The challenge is whether the market can actually deliver it.
In our latest analysis, we reviewed mandated Housing Needs Reports across seven mid-Vancouver Island municipalities:
Courtenay, Comox, Cumberland, Nanaimo, Parksville, Qualicum Beach, and Campbell River.
We compared:
• Current housing stock
• Modelled housing need
• Actual delivery
What stood out was this:
This is not simply a demand issue. It is a deliverability issue.
Across 6 of 7 municipalities reviewed, housing stock would need to grow by roughly 50% to 70% or more over the next 20 years.
That kind of sustained growth has not historically been achieved in these markets.
This raises an important question. Are provincial housing targets grounded in real market conditions, construction economics, infrastructure capacity, and affordability?
For appraisers, developers, lenders, investors, and local governments, the more important issue is not theoretical housing need alone. It is the widening gap between what is projected and what can actually be built in the real world.
That gap matters because it directly affects land value, development feasibility, and market behaviour.
Read the full article here:
A Gap Between Housing & Planning Policy and Delivery Is Driving the MarketAcross British Columbia, every municipality is now working under the same BC Government directive: quantify housing need using a standardized model and plan for enough housing to meet it. The first step, prepare a ‘Housing N...