10/15/2024
Canadian home sales rose modestly in September as real estate association predicts 2025 rebound.
After another month of lackluster real estate sales in September, Canada’s national real estate association predicts 2025 is the year when buyers will come back to the market.
The Bank of Canada is expected to continue cutting its benchmark interest rate, which will make it easier for homebuyers to qualify for a mortgage. Although the central bank reduced interest rates in June, July and September, the cost of a mortgage is still relatively expensive and many prospective buyers can’t handle the monthly loan payments.
CREA predicts there will be 499,800 home purchases next year. That would be 6.6 per cent higher than this year but still below the 10-year annual sales average. In addition to the lower borrowing costs, the federal government’s easier mortgage rules are due to go into effect mid-December.
The new rules will allow first-time homebuyers to stretch out their mortgage payments over a longer period of time and permit buyers to make smaller down payments on homes that cost up to $1.5-million.
With more buyers expected to enter the market, that will increase competition for homes and lead to higher prices. CREA forecasts that the average home price across the country will reach $713,375 next year. That would be 4.4 per cent higher than this year.
Last month, the average home price for the country was $669,630. That was 3 per cent higher than August and 2.1 per cent above September of last year.
The home price index, which adjusts for the highest priced properties and is the industry’s preferred measure, was $718,200 last month. That was unchanged from August and 3.6 per cent lower than September 2023.
The relative stability in prices suggests that home sellers are not reducing their asking prices despite the lack of interest from buyers.
The volume of sales rose 1.9 per cent from August to September though remained below the 10-year average. The slowdown in sales started shortly after the central bank started raising interest rates in March of 2022 and has not really picked up even though the Bank of Canada is now cutting borrowing costs.
Meanwhile, more homeowners are putting their properties up for sale. New listings rose 4.9 per cent from August to September with a large increase in the Toronto region, the country’s largest real estate market.
“This is a good time to buy with many options available. Negotiating a stretched closing may be a good option for Buyers to secure a good home and wait for the interest rates to come down. “
The Globe and Mail