07/05/2026
Half of 2026 is done. Here is where GTA buyers actually stand.
The four numbers that frame the second half:
- Average selling price: $1.07M, down 4.6% year over year. Softer than a year ago.
- Months of supply: 4.1. That is balanced, and tighter than the roughly 5.0 we saw last year.
- Bank of Canada rate: 2.25%, held five times running, steady since October.
- Prime rate: 4.45%, flat, with five-year fixed in the low 4s for qualified buyers.
What it means under $800K:
The market is balanced, not frantic. You have time to inspect, think, and negotiate, which is rare in the GTA. Prices have eased, so you are negotiating from a stronger spot than spring 2025. And rates are holding, which makes payments predictable and a purchase easier to plan.
A balanced market rewards the buyer who is ready, not the one who is fastest.
If you want to be ready for the second half, DM me PLAYBOOK and I will send over my first-time buyer playbook.
| Zinzu Real Estate Group