07/20/2026
Have you seen two different headlines about Ontario real estate this week and wondered which one to believe? A few people have asked me about it.
One report says Ontario is the only province expected to see more homes sell this year. Another says Ontario prices are still cooling. They landed the same week, and yes, they sound like they're arguing with each other.
They're not. One is counting how many homes are selling. The other is tracking what they're selling for. Right now in the GTA, both are true at once: sales are up 9.4% from a year ago, the fourth straight month of gains, while the average price is still down 3.9% from a year ago, an improvement from 4.9% in April and 4.6% in May.
So what does that mean if you're thinking about buying or selling? More people are active in the market than a year ago, and well-priced homes are seeing real competition, even though price hasn't fully caught up yet. It's not one story. It's two things happening on different timelines.
If you've been trying to time a move around whether the market is up or down, this is why that question doesn't have a one-word answer right now. Drop a comment if you want me to break down what it means for your specific situation.