09/02/2026
Real Estate News from The Don Team!!!
Based on the newest numbers available, I think **September 2026 will be better than the slower part of the summer in New Brunswick—but it will be a much more price-sensitive market than we were used to a few years ago.**
New Brunswick had **970 residential sales in July, down 8.7% from July 2025**, while active listings reached **4,124—the highest July inventory in more than five years**. Months of inventory rose to 4.3, meaning buyers have noticeably more choice. citeturn0search0
For **Greater Moncton**, the trend is similar: July sales were down about **5.1% year-over-year**, while inventory was around **4.9 months**, the highest July level in eight years. Importantly, prices have remained relatively strong rather than collapsing. citeturn0search10turn0search11
# # # My prediction for September
I expect **activity to pick up after Labour Day**, especially from roughly **September 8 through the end of the month**. Buyers who spent the summer travelling or waiting will come back, and sellers who want to move before winter will become more motivated.
But I don't expect a crazy seller's market. I see **a balanced market with pockets that still favour sellers**.
The biggest opportunity should be homes around **$300,000–$400,000**. CREA's New Brunswick data currently shows that the **$300K–$400K detached-home range has the strongest demand relative to supply**. citeturn0search5 That's particularly important for Shediac/Moncton-area first-time buyers and downsizers.
For houses **under roughly $400K that are clean, updated and properly priced**, I would expect good showing activity and potentially quick sales. Once you move toward **$500K+**, I'd expect buyers to be more patient and negotiate harder. Overpriced properties could sit even while good listings sell.
I **don't expect a major price drop in September**. New Brunswick's single-detached median sale price reached **$350,000 in Q2, up 2.3% year over year**, and the province is still below its long-term average for months of inventory. citeturn0search6turn0search0
One big factor is interest rates. The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at **2.25% in July**, and its **next rate decision is today, September 2**. citeturn0search8turn0search9 Since that announcement hasn't happened yet, I would watch it closely. A favourable decision—or even reassuring language about rates—could improve buyer confidence during September.
# # # For Shediac and Greater Moncton specifically
I'd rate September about **7/10 for sellers who price correctly** and **8/10 for buyers**, because buyers finally have meaningful selection.
For your business, I'd concentrate heavily on **$250K–$425K properties** this month. That's where I think you'll see the most consistent buyer traffic. For higher-priced listings, **pricing and presentation will matter enormously**; I wouldn't recommend testing the market with an inflated asking price.
CREA itself expects Canada's housing activity to become somewhat more active during the **second half of 2026**, although it has reduced expectations for Atlantic Canada somewhat because of slower population growth. citeturn0search1
So my overall call for **September 2026 in Southeast New Brunswick** is:
**More showings → more buyers returning → more accepted offers than late summer → stable/slightly rising prices → buyers negotiating harder → properly priced homes winning.**
And I think **September could be noticeably stronger than August for Shediac and Moncton.**
