06/06/2025
Monday MLS Metrics June 2: Our first MMM of June, looking back on the final week of May. Did a non-holiday week with crappy weather help or hurt May's numbers from a real estate in Toronto perspective? Let's have a look at the data.
As of today there are 4341 free-hold homes listed for sale in the E, C and W districts of the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board's MLS system. 822 of those were listed just in the last seven days, bringing us to a consistent week over week increase in available inventory since January. This is the Spring of Opportunity for people looking for options. In the free-hold market, that is NOT translating into lower prices. Prices have been creeping up, as has competition for what is on the market. 47% of all sales last week were at or above list price, a tick up from previous weeks. Here is how the percentage of homes selling in competition broke down by price point: 57% of homes selling between $1-2 million; 40% of homes between $2-3 million; 34% of homes under $1 million; and 20% of homes selling last week over $3 million. Over the last seven days the median list to sale price percentage was 100%, and the median Days on Market was 12. In context, even homes that sit past 7 days are more likely to sell at their list price than below, and if it is below, it is a nominal amount.
In contrast is the way May finished up in the world of condos. Inventory went down a bit, finally, to sit at 8164 units for sale in the C, E and W districts of our MLS. That is a decrease of almost 100 units week over week, even with a healthy 1031 listed in the same time frame. With only 167 sales, and with only 20% of those at or above asking, it's a good indication that Sellers are pulling listings off the market, unsold. Some may find their way into the rental world, while others may be taking a break. The median % of list to sale price sits at 97, with a median Days on Market climbing to 31. Buyers here have lots of inventory to pick through, and a lot more negotiating price space than in the free-hold world. Sellers will have to get creative in terms of pricing, and other Buyer incentives to stand out in a crowd.
With most betting money being on a Bank of Canada rate freeze for most of the summer, and Banks beginning to edge up some of the rates on Fixed Rate mortgages, now is an excellent time to get a rate locked in, and maybe do some shopping!