Patrick Rocca Leaside Davisville East York Real Estate

Patrick Rocca Leaside Davisville East York Real Estate i enjoy working in real estate, with over 30 years in the industry. Experience counts!!

Leaside, Davisville, Moore Park, Lawrence Park, North Toronto & East York Realtor Specialist!

07/31/2026

MARKET INSIGHT FOR THE WEEK ENDING July 31st, 2026

Ban on foreign homebuyers is set to expire at the end of this year.

The Liberal government has not yet confirmed whether it will extend Canada’s foreign homebuyer ban, despite internal briefing documents warning that the clock is ticking if the policy is to be renewed through the current regulatory process before it expires on January 1st, 2027.

The federal ban generally prevents foreign nationals and commercial entities from buying residential property in Canada. It was introduced as part of the government’s broader effort to address the country’s housing supply shortage.

Unless the government takes action, the ban, which came into effect in 2023, will automatically end on Jan. 1, 2027. Under the current rules, people who are neither Canadian citizens nor permanent residents are generally prohibited from buying residential property in urban areas across the country.

What the ban covers:

Target homes: The restrictions apply to residential properties containing three or fewer dwelling units, including detached homes and condo units, located within census metropolitan areas or agglomerations.

Penalties: Anyone who violates the legislation can face a fine of up to $10,000, and a court can order the property to be sold.

Exemptions: The rules do not apply to Canadian citizens, permanent residents, certain work or study permit holders, or purchases involving vacant land and multi-family buildings with more than four units.

The ban appears to have had a relatively limited measurable effect. In British Columbia, for example, foreign buyers accounted for just 1.1 per cent of home sales in 2021, while average Canadian home prices increased by more than 20 per cent during the ban period.

Rather than simply extending the existing rules, the Carney government is considering whether a different approach to foreign investment in Canadian housing would make more sense.

Housing Minister Gregor Robertson has previously indicated that the government is looking at policies in other countries, including Australia. Its system includes exemptions for certain new housing and vacant land purchases.

Under the Australian model, exemptions can include:

• investments that increase housing stock by more than 20 units;

• purchases intended for large-scale redevelopment that increase the availability of housing, including retirement villages, assisted living facilities and student accommodation;

• purchases of new builds; and

• purchases of vacant land.

The Canadian system differs from Australia’s approach. In Australia, certain exemptions generally require approval from a review board before a purchase can be completed. Canada’s legislation, by comparison, allows some categories of purchases to proceed without individual, case-by-case approval.

A briefing note obtained through the access-to-information system warns that extending or changing the ban through regulations would involve a public consultation process. That would include publishing the proposed changes in the Canada Gazette and allowing time for public feedback.

According to the briefing note, that process “typically averages 18 months.”

That could push the regulatory process beyond the current expiry date. The government could, however, pursue a legislative route instead, although the briefing note does not examine that option.

The document also points to polling suggesting the ban remains popular with Canadians. At the same time, most outside analyses have concluded that foreign buyers represented only a relatively small portion of home purchases, estimated at between two and five per cent. The briefing note also says foreign buyers have tended to concentrate their purchases in the luxury housing market.

The ban was originally scheduled to end on Jan. 1, 2025, but the federal government extended it in February 2024. Several organizations representing realtors and housing developers have pushed for the restrictions to be removed.

In a statement, Robertson’s director of communications, Jenna Ghassabeh, did not confirm whether the ban would be extended. She said the government’s priority remains increasing the supply of homes available to Canadians.

“The government of Canada is committed to ensuring that homes in Canada are first and foremost for housing Canadian families, and not speculative investments,” she said. “Our government recognizes the need for more affordable housing, and the impact that supply has on housing affordability in many parts of the country.”

Critics of the ban argue that foreign buyers were not the main factor behind rising home prices. One argument is that government charges, fees and taxes played a much larger role in pushing up prices, particularly in Canada’s most expensive housing markets.

The policy may be popular with the public, but that alone does not necessarily make it effective policy, critics argue.

Mike Moffatt, founding director of the housing think tank Missing Middle Initiative, said Canada could learn from Australia’s approach because it allows foreign investment to help fund the construction of additional housing.

He said the goal of the Canadian ban was largely to prevent foreign capital from coming into the country and purchasing existing homes. However, he noted that the situation is different when overseas investors are providing capital that helps create new housing.

Moffatt said the ban likely provided a small boost to housing affordability but stressed that it was introduced under very different market conditions from those facing Canada today.

Since taking office, Prime Minister Mark Carney’s government has taken a more pragmatic position on foreign investment. Robertson has suggested that offshore capital could help address some of the gaps in Canada’s housing market, while the federal government has also indicated it is considering changes to the tax system aimed at attracting significant foreign investment.

07/26/2026
Stunning condo at Avenue Rd & Cottingham! Renovated approx 1,722 SF ground floor suite at The Oaklands with 2 bdrm, 3 ba...
07/22/2026

Stunning condo at Avenue Rd & Cottingham! Renovated approx 1,722 SF ground floor suite at The Oaklands with 2 bdrm, 3 baths and approx 492 SF terrace that's exquisite, private, with access to a beautiful greenscape grounds.
Asking $1,699,000 MLS C13585246

07/17/2026

MARKET INSIGHT FOR THE WEEK ENDING July 17th, 2026

CREA Revises Resale Housing Market Forecast

OTTAWA, Ontario, July 15, 2026 - The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) has released updated forecasts for home sales activity and average home prices across Canada for 2026 and 2027, based on data from the Multiple Listing Service (MLS) Systems operated by real estate boards and associations.

Since CREA published its previous forecast in mid-April, both the economy and housing markets have continued to shift. Concerns that higher oil prices would fuel inflation pushed fixed mortgage rates upward in late March, although those increases have since partially reversed. In addition, expectations for further Bank of Canada rate hikes this year have largely disappeared, providing some relief for both fixed and variable-rate mortgage holders.

While elevated oil prices have strengthened some regional economies, other parts of Canada are feeling the effects of slower population growth on housing demand sooner than anticipated. A recovery in home sales began to emerge in May, led by Ontario. British Columbia has experienced a more moderate pickup, while activity in other regions has remained mixed.

Overall, CREA has slightly lowered its national home sales forecast for 2026 to reflect the softer-than-expected first half of the year and the delayed start to the anticipated market recovery. Even so, sales activity is still expected to improve during the second half of the year.

This follows a pattern similar to what occurred in both 2024 and 2025. Looking ahead, sales are expected to strengthen across the country in 2027, with Ontario and the Prairie provinces forecast to outperform earlier expectations, while Quebec and Atlantic Canada are now projected to see slightly weaker activity than previously anticipated.

The revised outlook remains consistent with CREA's longer-term view that housing markets across Canada will gradually return to more typical levels as key economic factors including inflation, interest rates, and population growth continue to stabilize after the significant volatility experienced during the first half of the 2020s.

CREA now forecasts that 463,336 residential properties will trade through Canadian MLS Systems in 2026, representing a modest 1.4% decline from 2025. This slight downward revision from April's forecast, which had anticipated a small annual increase, reflects a faster-than-expected slowdown in regions dealing with both reduced population growth and ongoing supply challenges, particularly Quebec and Atlantic Canada. Ontario is now expected to be the only province to post higher annual sales in 2026 than in 2025.

The national average home price is forecast to increase 1.1% to $686,710 in 2026, remaining almost identical to CREA's April projection. Nationally, this reflects price declines of less than 1% in Ontario and British Columbia, balanced by continued, though slowing price growth in other provinces. Alberta continues to stand out after prices resumed climbing during the second quarter, while Newfoundland and Labrador remains Canada's only province still firmly in seller's market territory.

In 2027, national home sales are projected to rise 3.7% to 480,567 units. Most provinces are expected to record gains of a similar size as slow but positive economic growth, stable interest rates, and generally steady or modestly rising home prices encourage more buyers to return to the market. Sales could exceed this forecast if outside economic factors do not disrupt the spring market for a fourth consecutive year.

The national average home price is also expected to rise 1.1% in 2027 to $694,164, again largely unchanged from CREA's April forecast. Across most regions, price gains are expected to remain below the rate of inflation. If realized, this would mark the sixth and seventh consecutive years that Canada's national average home price has remained near the $700,000 mark.

CREA updates its forecasts for home sales activity and average home prices every quarter using data from the MLS Systems of Canadian real estate boards and associations. The organization's next forecast is scheduled for release on Friday, October 16, 2026.

The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) is one of Canada's largest single-industry associations, representing more than 155,000 REALTORS®. The organization advocates on behalf of property owners, buyers, and sellers while supporting the economic and social well-being of communities across the country.

07/05/2026

What to know
Toronto home sales rose 9.4 per cent year-over-year in June, while new listings fell 12.9 per cent, signalling that the market is beginning to tighten after two slower years.
lower home prices, stable interest rates and improving consumer confidence are encouraging buyers who had been waiting on the sidelines to re-enter the market.
Despite the shift, buyers still have strong negotiating power because inventory remains relatively high, although well-priced and desirable homes are selling more quickly.
The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board expects competition among buyers to increase through the second half of 2026, which could eventually lead to renewed price growth.
Sellers may benefit from reduced competition, but an expert warns that pricing homes realistically remains crucial, as overpriced properties are still likely to sit on the market.

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