04/13/2026
MARKET UPDATE | MARCH 2025
Winter may still be lingering, and so is some market uncertainty — but March showed a few encouraging signs worth noting. 🌱
Sales edged up 1.7% year-over-year, with 5,039 homes sold, a modest but meaningful improvement heading into the spring market. At the same time, active listings fell sharply, down 8% compared to this time last year, continuing to tighten available supply.
Prices remained under pressure, with the average selling price coming in at $1,017,796, down 6.7% year-over-year. However, month-over-month, prices held relatively stable, showing a slight uptick from February 2026.
According to TRREB's Chief Information Officer Jason Mercer, buyers continued to hold significant negotiating power last month, which explains the year-over-year price decline. But if market conditions continue to tighten as they did in March, we could start to see prices level off through the remainder of 2026.
On the new construction front, a significant policy announcement is worth paying attention to. Beginning April 1st, 2026 and running through March 31st, 2027, the Ontario and federal governments are offering a full HST rebate of up to $130,000 on newly built homes valued up to $1 million. Homes between $1M and $1.5M receive the flat maximum rebate, while homes between $1.5M and $1.85M receive a proportionally declining amount. Eligibility extends to all buyers, including investors and repeat buyers.
This is a meaningful incentive that is already prompting developers to actively promote remaining inventory. Combined with development charge relief still being finalized at the municipal level, these measures are designed to re-energize demand and address the GTA's ongoing supply shortage.
If you want to understand what any of this means for your next move, I am always here to help you navigate with confidence. ☕️