10/09/2026
Vancouver condo apartment starts fell 40% further in H1 2026 — weakest first half since 2011. Soft ≠ crash. Pipeline watch, not a crash call.
CMHC Fall 2026 Housing Supply Report. Posting 8 October 2026.
Rental ~60% of 2026 starts (vs under 20% in 2016). Unsold concentrated in Surrey, City of Vancouver, Burnaby (Burnaby strongest growth). Starts 5,000–7,000 units/yr below need by 2036.
Not a resale crash claim. Not MLS. Not a 2027–28 price forecast. Soft demand today ≠ stop watching ownership supply.
Newbuild colour (not CMHC): 18 Metro presales cut starting prices / 11 raised; 2027 completions 14,382 vs 22,017 in 2026 (−35%).
Watching starts — or only today’s list prices?
https://www.cmhc-schl.gc.ca/professionals/housing-markets-data-and-research/market-reports/housing-market/housing-supply-report
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Not mortgage, legal, or investment advice.
Alex Lam
Coldwell Banker Prestige Realty