Ryan Erikson - Mortgage Broker at DLC - Modern Mortgage Group

09/22/2026

09/19/2026

Why the bond market matters right now.

There has been a noticeable shift in global bond markets this week, and it’s something mortgage borrowers should be paying attention to.

One of the biggest factors is oil, which has moved above $100/barrel. Higher energy prices can put upward pressure on inflation, which may make central banks more cautious about lowering interest rates.

At the same time, U.S. government bond yields have been rising sharply, and Canadian bond yields have been affected as well.

Why does this matter for your mortgage?
- Fixed mortgage rates are closely tied to bond yields. When bond yields rise, lenders' funding costs can increase, which can put upward pressure on fixed mortgage rates.

- Variable rates are different. They are primarily influenced by the Bank of Canada's policy rate, so they don't move directly with bond yields.

- The mortgage decision isn't simply "fixed vs. variable." Your timeline, cash flow, risk tolerance, mortgage balance, and plans for the property all matter.

The recent bond market movement is a reminder that today's rates aren't guaranteed to be available tomorrow.

If you're purchasing, refinancing, or approaching a renewal, it can be valuable to review both fixed and variable options and understand the potential scenarios before making a decision.
Rates can change quickly. Your mortgage strategy should be based on your individual situation—not just today's headline rate.

Have any questions?
shoot me an email at today at; [email protected]
Phone: 250-893-0116
Web: ryanerikson.com

09/13/2026

Why the bond market matters right now

There has been a noticeable shift in global bond markets this week, and it’s something mortgage borrowers should be paying attention to.

One of the biggest factors is oil, which has moved above $100/barrel. Higher energy prices can put upward pressure on inflation, which may make central banks more cautious about lowering interest rates.

At the same time, U.S. government bond yields have been rising sharply, and Canadian bond yields have been affected as well.

Why does this matter for your mortgage?
- Fixed mortgage rates are closely tied to bond yields. When bond yields rise, lenders' funding costs can increase, which can put upward pressure on fixed mortgage rates.

- Variable rates are different. They are primarily influenced by the Bank of Canada's policy rate, so they don't move directly with bond yields.

- The mortgage decision isn't simply "fixed vs. variable." Your timeline, cash flow, risk tolerance, mortgage balance, and plans for the property all matter.

The recent bond market movement is a reminder that today's rates aren't guaranteed to be available tomorrow.

If you're purchasing, refinancing, or approaching a renewal, it can be valuable to review both fixed and variable options and understand the potential scenarios before making a decision.
Rates can change quickly. Your mortgage strategy should be based on your individual situation—not just today's headline rate.

Have any questions?
shoot me an email at today at < [email protected] >
Phone: 250-893-0116
Web: ryanerikson.com

08/14/2026

For homeowners who expect to move eventually, accessing equity now may ease financial pressure and allow them to sell when the timing is right.

07/31/2026

BMO expects the Bank of Canada to remain firmly on hold this year, but says worsening trade relations with the U.S. could put rate cuts back in play.

07/31/2026

SAVE THE DATES: The Bank of Canada has released its 2027 interest rate announcement schedule, including four decisions accompanied by a Monetary Policy Report.

See the full schedule and details: https://www.canadianmortgagetrends.com/2026/07/bank-of-canada-sets-2027-interest-rate-announcement-dates/

07/15/2026

What do you think the BAnk of Canada will do today?

The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hold its policy rate at 2.25% this week, but economists remain divided over how soon the central bank may need to begin raising rates.

05/25/2026

How are you saving for your down payment?

Most Canadians with marriage on the mind rank home ownership well ahead of lavish weddings and conventional gifts, a new survey finds.

04/16/2026

I definitely have heard this many times over the years from clients.

Waiting often feels like the “safe” choice, but in reality, it can be one of the most expensive decisions buyers make. The market rarely rewards perfect timing.
The good news?
You don’t need perfect timing, you need a smart plan.
With the right strategy, buyers can move forward confidently today and adjust tomorrow when conditions change. The key isn’t predicting the market… it’s preparing for it.
If you or someone you know is waiting on rates, let’s talk through a plan instead of watching opportunities pass by.

04/07/2026

The Bank of Canada has not moved in months. Your mortgage rate just went up anyway.

Most people are confused by this. They watch the BoC announcements, see the rate hold steady, and assume their mortgage costs will too.

That is not how fixed rates work.

Fixed mortgage rates are not set by the Bank of Canada. They are set by bond yields. And bond yields do not wait for central bank meetings.

Here is the chain reaction most people miss.

A war breaks out in the Middle East. The Strait of Hormuz closes. Global oil prices spike. Energy costs rise across the economy.

Now here is the part that catches people off guard.

Inflation does not need to arrive for rates to move. The 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘬 of inflation is enough.

Bond investors see higher energy prices and start pricing in future inflation. They demand higher yields to compensate. Lenders see those yields rise and adjust their fixed mortgage rates accordingly.

In the past three weeks alone, fixed rates climbed by half a percent. The five-year fixed went from around 4% to 4.95%. And the Bank of Canada did nothing.

That is the disconnect most homeowners do not understand.

Variable rates follow the Bank of Canada.
Fixed rates follow bond markets.
Bond markets follow global risk.

Right now, 1.4 million Canadians are renewing their mortgages this year. Many of them locked in at rates from 2021. They are walking into renewals expecting stability and finding something very different.

Here is what most people miss.

You do not need to wait for the Bank of Canada to act. The market already moved. And if uncertainty continues, it could move again.

If your renewal is coming up, now is the time to lock in a rate hold. Not when the letter arrives. Now.

[email protected]

There are generally two ways to get a mortgage in Canada: From a bank or from a licensed mortgage professional. With 10 years of experience in the Financial Industry and as a Mortgage Expert I thoroughly enjoy assisting my clients with consolidating debt, lowering their monthly payments as well as a...