16/09/2026
**PRICES ARE FALLING. RENTS ARE AT RECORD HIGHS. SO — DO YOU BUY OR KEEP RENTING? 🤔🏠**
This is the question everyone’s asking right now, and the honest answer is: neither option wins on a headline. Here’s what actually matters.
**The case for buying keeps renting starts to look shaky.** National rental vacancy is sitting at just 1.1% — near the tightest on record — and median rents have climbed 48% over the past decade. Unlike a mortgage, none of that builds equity, and none of it protects you if your landlord decides to sell.
**Meanwhile, falling prices are quietly doing something interesting to yields.** Take a $900K property renting for $650/week — that starts at a 3.76% yield. Drop the price 10% and lift the rent 5.7% (both realistic in this market), and the same property now yields 4.41% — nothing about the asset changed, just the market around it.
Here’s the twist: the “time to buy” sentiment index just hit 82.9, a cycle low, well under its long-run average of 120. Most people feel like now is a bad time to buy. Historically, that feeling has lined up with some of the best buying windows of the cycle — not the worst.
**So which is right for you?** Before deciding either way, ask yourself three questions: Is your time horizon 5+ years? Does the cash flow work at today’s rates, not just today’s rent? And are you buying for the asset — or just to avoid a headline about falling prices?
Renting isn’t reckless. Buying isn’t automatically smart. The right call depends on your numbers, not the news cycle.
📩 Want help running your own numbers on this? DM us or head to the link in bio.
🔗 arirabuyersagent.com.au
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