22/11/2017
Please see my thoughts below against the main key points of the budget for housing as produced by the BBC. Happy home hunting everyone and please feel free to give your feedback on my thoughts below on this page.
Not the biggest budget for housing in relation to its direct effect on people, but until the Government and Councils accept the economic law of supply and demand, there really is little they can do to control house prices, either purchase or rental, without direct price controls. Some people will believe this is a good thing, but history would suggest that it can lead to market stagnation, lack of investment and increased bureaucracy, not things that generally lead to good outcomes. However, I have been wrong before and I could be wrong again!
Neil Jenkin
Director
Stamp duty and housing summary as per the BBC.
• Stamp duty to be abolished immediately for first-time buyers purchasing properties worth up to £300,000
✔Great news for first time buyers, paying less tax has got to be a good thing!
• To help those in London and other expensive areas, the first £300,000 of the cost of a £500,000 purchase by all first-time buyers will be exempt from stamp duty, with the remaining £200,000 incurring 5%.
✔I think this shows the huge divide between London and the rest of the country. First time buyers with budgets of £500,000!
• 95% of all first-time buyers will benefit, with 80% not paying stamp duty
✔Again, great news for first time buyers, not sure it will make homes more affordable in the long term, as this will give first time buyers a larger budget, which will eventually feed into the size of offers they can make, therefore increasing house prices. It does however significantly increase their advantage over buy to let investors which will help a house owning democracy.
• Reduction will apply immediately in England, Wales and Northern Ireland although the Welsh government will have to decide whether to continue it when stamp duty is devolved in April 2018
✔A shame for anyone who has just completed on their house purchase as a first time buyer, but there are always losers in any budget. Where do they draw the cut off?
• It will not apply in Scotland unless Scottish government decides to follow suit
✔Unlucky Scottish buyers?
• £44bn in overall government support for housing to meet target of building 300,000 new homes a year by the middle of the next decade
✔I believe this is where house prices can be truly affected, and affordability helped. My old O’ Level Economics teacher spent a long time ensuring I understood the Supply and Demand curve. Increase the supply and if all other factors are equal, including demand, and the price will drop! The UK population has increased by 9 million people since 1976 and there has not been enough building to satisfy this demand and keep house price inflation at a manageable level.
• Councils given powers to charge 100% council tax premium on empty properties
✔More properties available will help keep prices under control. No holding on to your beloved grand parents home, it will need to be rented or sold quickly otherwise it will become a liability rather than an asset.
• Compulsory purchase of land banked by developers for financial reasons
✔Not sure how this will work. Can they define what a landbank is or a plot that is going through all of the planning and other permissions that have to be sought prior to commencing a project. Some of these negotiations can take years.
• £400m to regenerate housing estates and £1.1bn to unlock strategic sites for development
✔Again, anything that increases supply will help the majority of buyers.
• Review into delays in developments given planning permission being taken forward
✔Ah, another review, I wonder how long it will take, how much it will cost and would bet that the recommendations are unlikely to be acted upon. (Cynical perhaps, but too many reviews, not enough action!)
• £28m for Kensington and Chelsea council to provide counselling services and mental health support for victims of the Grenfell fire and for regeneration of surrounding area
✔Obviously a specific case with specific requirements.
• New homelessness task force
✔Please see my point regarding reviews. A task force, what teeth will it have, how wide ranging will its remit be, how many people with connections to the large builders be on it if it does have any ability to do anything.