17/06/2026
Everyone keeps asking me the same question right now. Is Hamilton crashing, or is it about to take off?
Honestly, I think that’s the wrong question to be asking.
The truth is the market’s sitting still. Prices have barely moved either way over the past year. Listings are building up, which means buyers have more on offer than they have in a while. And that’s exactly where I think both sides are getting it wrong.
A lot of vendors are still pricing off 2021. I get it. That was the number your neighbour got. That was the number that’s been sitting in your head for years. But that market is gone now. Pricing for a memory instead of pricing for who’s actually walking through your door right now is how a good property sits unsold for months and then gets blamed on a “bad market.”
A lot of buyers are doing the opposite. Waiting for the big drop. Waiting for some headline to tell them it’s safe to jump in. But the window where you’ve actually got leverage, more stock to choose from, less competition, room to negotiate, is open right now. Markets like this don’t sit calm forever. The moment volumes lift and listings tighten back up, the leverage you were waiting to use is gone.
Both sides are negotiating with a market that isn’t actually there. One is negotiating with the market they remember. The other is negotiating with the market they’re hoping for.
So here’s what I’d ask you. Are you making decisions based on where the Waikato market actually sits today, or where you wish it sat?
If you’re a vendor and your home isn’t moving, or you’re a buyer who keeps missing out, there’s usually a reason and it’s rarely the one people assume. Send me a message and I’ll give you my honest, no fluff take on what you might be missing.