22/10/2024
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 7
Tropical Storm (TRAMI)
Issued at 5:00 PM, 22 October 2024
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 11:00 PM today.
“KRISTINE” SLIGHTLY INTENSIFIES OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA EAST OF BICOL REGION.
• Location of Center (4:00 PM):
The center of Tropical Storm KRISTINE was estimated based on all available data at 390 km East of Daet, Camarines Norte (14.3°N, 126.6°E)
• Intensity:
Maximum sustained winds of 75 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 90 km/h, and central pressure of 990 hPa
• Present Movement:
West northwestward at 15 km/h
• Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds:
Strong to gale-force winds extend outwards up to 760 km from the center
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS No. 2
• Wind threat: Gale-force winds
• Warning lead time: 24 hours
• Range of wind speeds: 62 to 88 km/h (Beaufort 8 to 9)
• Potential impacts of winds: Minor to moderate threat to life and property
LUZON:
Catanduanes, the eastern portion of Camarines Norte (Basud, Daet, Talisay, Vinzons, Paracale, Mercedes), the eastern portion of Camarines Sur (Caramoan, Presentacion, Garchitorena, Tinambac, Siruma, Lagonoy, Goa, San Jose, Saglay, Tigaon), the eastern portion of Albay (Rapu-Rapu, Bacacay, City of Tabaco, Malilipot, Malinao, Tiwi) and the eastern portion of Sorsogon (Barcelona, Gubat, Prieto Diaz)
TCWS No. 1
• Wind threat: Strong winds
• Warning lead time: 36 hours
• Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
• Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property
LUZON:
Masbate including Ticao and Burias Islands, the rest of Camarines Norte, the rest of Camarines Sur, the rest of Albay, and the rest of Sorsogon
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
• KRISTINE is forecast to move generally northwestward until it makes landfall over Isabela or northern Aurora tomorrow (23 October) evening or on Thursday (24 October) early morning. It will then cross the mountainous terrain of Northern Luzon and emerge over the waters west of Ilocos Region on Thursday afternoon or evening. KRISTINE may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) region on Friday (25 October). Changes in forecast track is not ruled out, depending on the movement of the weather systems surrounding this tropical cyclone in the next few days.
• KRISTINE is forecast to gradually intensify into a severe tropical storm before making landfall. Slight weakening will occur while crossing Northern Luzon. Re-intensification may occur over the West Philippine Sea.
The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 11:00 PM today.
DOST-PAGASA
