18/06/2026
A client of mine owns a flat in Lisbon. Good situation, no pressure to move. But when we sat down and looked at what selling would unlock, the conversation took a turn.
Lisbon is now averaging €5,900/m². That's a new record, according to Confidencial Imobiliário's April 2026 edition. Montijo sits well below that. Same river. Same view of the Tejo. A fraction of the price.
That's not just a number. For a family priced out of a 60m² flat in Lisbon, a project like Bay View in Montijo - new build, river views, starting at €234,000 - changes what's possible.
And my client isn't alone in doing this calculation.
The South Bank markets rose more than 30% year-on-year in Q1 2026, faster than Lisbon's own 14.8% growth. Moita led at 35.6%. Barreiro and Seixal both crossed 31%. Even Montijo, one of the more moderate performers in the group, posted 17.4%.
The demand is already moving. What's less clear is whether supply can follow.
Construction costs are now the single biggest obstacle for developers in Portugal - ahead of licensing for the first time in six years. And Confidencial Imobiliário's editorial makes a point worth sitting with: when supply stays structurally tight, a slowdown in transactions doesn't bring prices down. It can actually push them higher. Fewer deals, same scarcity, same upward pressure.
So the South Bank story isn't just about cheaper prices. It's about where genuine value still exists in a market where Lisbon's ceiling keeps rising and the mid-market supply gap keeps widening.
Are you seeing clients make this kind of move? Or is the hesitation still stronger than the numbers?