03/31/2026
Great weekly info!
🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗰𝗵 𝟯𝟬, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲
𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗺𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗱 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿 👎
Rates moved higher last week as the conflict in the Middle East continued without a resolution and the Strait of Hormuz remained largely closed. Mortgage rates were also pressured higher by concerns that the Fed may have to hike rates later this year rather than cut them.
𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗹𝗶𝗸𝗲𝗹𝘆 𝘁𝗼 𝗯𝗲 𝘃𝗼𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗹𝗲 ⚠️
Mortgage rates are hard to predict this week and could swing based on market sentiment around Fed policy, oil prices, labor data, and concerns about the economy as the conflict with Iran continues. Traders are growing more concerned about potential longer-term economic issues which may lead to a recession, which could help mortgage rates this week.
📈 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁’𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
• Economic data: There will be multiple reports this week on the labor market, including Friday’s BLS jobs report, which could affect rates later in the week.
• The Fed: Markets are now concerned the Fed may hike rates rather than cut this year.
• Military action in Iran: The longer the conflict in the Middle East continues, the higher mortgage rates are likely to go. However, if a resolution is reached, rates would stabilize and should begin moving lower again, even if slowly.
