09/28/2026
๐ก ๐๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ฝ๐๐ฒ๐บ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ฎ๐ด, ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฒ
๐๐ฎ๐๐ ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ'๐ ๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ด๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฝ: ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐บ๐ผ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ต๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐
Mortgage rates moved to new 2026 highs last week and were as volatile as forecasted in last week's commentary. Rates pushed higher as bond yields reached 20-year highs and oil prices remained elevated.
๐ง๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ'๐ ๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ด๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐๐: ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐๐น๐ฑ ๐ด๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ฒ ๐
Mortgage rates are likely to continue moving higher this week, pushed up by rising energy costs and speculation that the Fed will hike rates twice more this year. There is a slim chance rates could hold or improve slightly if something positive happens in the Middle East that helps oil prices fall, but the odds aren't great.
๐ ๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐โ๐ ๐ฎ๐ณ๐ณ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ:
โขMiddle East: Oil prices and headlines surrounding talks between the U.S. and Iran will continue to play a big role in mortgage rates this week.
โขJobs data: There are multiple jobs reports this week, but Friday's BLS jobs data will likely have the biggest effect on mortgage rates. Signs of a strong labor market could push rates higher by increasing speculation that the Fed will continue to hike its policy rate.
โขBond yields: Crushing amounts of government debt have investors demanding higher yields on Treasuries, and the rising 10yr Treasury yield plays a big role in mortgage pricing.
