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Endurance Lending Group

Home ambitions fueled: mortgages and real estate investing. Serving: FL, MI, NC, NJ, and SC

06/15/2026

6/15/26

News of a peace agreement over the weekend might shift short run expectations for inflation and interest rates.

Trump announced that a deal with Iran was now complete yesterday with a signing ceremony to take place in Switzerland on Friday.

Oil prices fell on the news with the Strait of Hormuz reopening.

Housing and retail sales data will be the backdrop this week.

The Fed is also meeting this week, marking Warsh’s first as Fed Chair.

Market participants are widely expecting no changes but will be tuned in to see if Warsh holds what could be his first press conference for any potential Fed policy details.

06/13/2026

6/12/26

The 10-year Treasury yield increased by one basis point to 4.47%, signaling weaker bond prices as investors moved away from safe-haven assets.

The rise in yields reflects improving sentiment around a potential U.S.- Iran agreement.

Oil prices dropped 2.6% to near $88 a barrel, helping ease inflation pressures.

Overall, markets are being driven primarily by shifting geopolitical expectations and energy prices, with investors cautious as the proposed deal is still not finalized and prior optimism has proven fragile.

Looking ahead, preliminary June consumer sentiment is due today, expected at 46.0 versus 44.8 previously.

06/11/2026

6/11/26

The yield on 10-year Treasuries fell two basis points to 4.53%, though levels remain relatively high as markets assess inflation and the outlook for the Federal Reserve policy.

May PPI came in stronger than expected, rising 1.1% month-over-month versus 0.7% expected, and 6.5% year-over-year, driven largely by higher energy prices, especially gasoline.

Core PPI came in at 0.8%, compared to 0.4% expected. The data suggests continued price pressures in the production pipeline.

Overall, inflation trends, energy costs, and expectations for interest rates remain key factors, contributing to cautious sentiment across markets.

06/10/2026

6/10/26

The bond market held steady following the May CPI report, with Treasury yields little changed as investors weighed the latest inflation data.

Headline CPI rose 0.5% month-over-month and 4.2% year-over-year, largely driven by a 3.9% increase in energy costs, which accounted for over 60% of the monthly rise in the all-items index.

In contrast, core CPI increased 0.2% and held at 2.9% annually, indicating more moderate underlying price pressures.

Overall, the data presented a mixed inflation picture, leaving rate expectations broadly unchanged as attention turns to tomorrow’s PPI report for further direction.

06/09/2026

6/9/26

10-year Treasury yields held steady near 4.54%, signaling that markets still anticipate
interest rates staying higher for longer.

Short-term rates have moved higher, with 2-year notes reaching their highest levels in over a year, suggesting investors increasingly expect the Fed to consider additional hikes despite political pressure to ease.

Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions showed signs of easing, as Israel and Iran agreed to halt attacks and President Trump signaled that broader peace talks are progressing.

Attention now shifts to CPI and PPI data, as stronger inflation readings could push the Fed to keep rates higher.

06/08/2026

6/8/26

There are no releases scheduled for today.

CPI and PPI will be the primary focus this week as investors digest the latest inflation data scheduled to release Wednesday and Thursday.

Iran has continued attacks on Israel as peace talks remain fragile amidst a volatile ceasefire.

Iran has threatened Israel that attacks will continue if Israel continues to target Lebanon.

Oil prices remain elevated as the conflict continues with prices now hovering around $91 a barrel.

The next Fed meeting is quickly approaching June 16-17th with new Fed Chair, Kevin Warsh.

The Fed has held steady this year, but rising inflation could drive the Fed to raise rates before year end.

06/05/2026

6/5/26

The bond market came under pressure, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising seven basis points to 4.54% while the two-year climbed to 4.14% after a stronger-than-expected jobs report reinforced the case for tighter policy.

Nonfarm payrolls rose 172,000, beating forecasts, with upward revisions to prior months marking the strongest three-month stretch in over two years.

The unemployment rate held at 4.3% and average hourly earnings increased by 0.3%, pointing to continued labor market resilience.

Equities declined as investors priced in a higher likelihood of a Fed rate hike, with rate-sensitive sectors coming under pressure.

The data shifted focus back to inflation and policy risk.

06/04/2026

6/4/26

The bond market steadied with the 10-year Treasury yield down two basis points to 4.47%, as some investors appeared to move into safer assets amid renewed geopolitical tension.

While stocks came under pressure, bonds and oil found some support even as fighting in Lebanon continued, highlighting the uncertain outlook.

The standoff has kept markets focused on the risk that higher oil prices could push inflation back up.

The slight decrease in yields suggests investors are taking a more cautious stance and waiting for clearer direction, following a broader recent rise in yields.

Focus now turns to upcoming data including Friday’s employment report, alongside several Fed speakers, which could provide further insight into the rate outlook.

06/03/2026

6/3/26

The yield on 10-year Treasuries increased four basis points to 4.48%, reflecting pressure in bond markets amid rising oil prices and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East.

Markets remain cautious after a fresh flare-up between the U.S. and Iran, in which Iranian missiles and drones targeted U.S. allies and were intercepted, prompting U.S. strikes on an Iranian drone command site.

In housing, Realtor.com’s May 2026 Housing Report shows that mortgage rates moved higher during the month, averaging about 6.53% by late May, up from earlier levels of 6.30%.

Median year over year listing prices fell 2.4%, while pending home sales continued to rise for a sixth consecutive month.

Despite rates being higher, buyer activity remains resilient.

Homes going under contract and overall pending sales activity are both higher compared to May 2025.

06/02/2026

6/2/26

Bond markets saw some relief with the 10-year Treasury yield falling three basis points to 4.43% and the dollar weakening as investors turned more cautious amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty.

Conflicting signals around a potential Middle East peace deal have fueled demand for safer assets, helping push yields lower after recent selling pressure driven by expectations that the Fed will keep rates higher for longer.

Crude prices decreased 1.2%, pulling back from recent highs as traders weighed easing supply concerns against uncertain geopolitical developments.

Looking ahead, Wednesday will focus on ADP employment, ISM services, and the Fed’s Beige Book for further input on growth and rate expectations.

Address

41000 Woodward Avenue Suite 350 East
Bloomfield Hills, MI
48304

Website

http://www.endurancelendinggroup.com/

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