09/06/2023
Monthly Market Report
We’re in an interesting market with lots of unknowns due to the feds and high interest rates (low 7%). This is causing uncertainty and we can see it in our numbers.
I’m going to give some detailed numbers and you can decide for yourself of how you want to predict them. I will also throw in some numbers from last year at this same time.
Inventory -
For Ada we are currently sitting at 1521 active listings. What was the inventory last year at this same time? 2625. That’s a 58% difference in our inventory.
For Canyon we are currently sitting at 806 active listings. What was the inventory last year at this sam time? 1357. That’s a 59% difference in our inventory.
Median Sales Price -
For Ada we had 675 homes officially sell at a median sales price of $520,000. This is down -$20,000 from LAST month. Where were we last year at this time? $565,000. If you remember last year, our peak was in June for our median sales price around $620,000 and we’ve been in a decline until April of this year. Since then, we have been ticking up and this month we took a good fall.
For Canyon we had 434 homes officially sell at a median sales price of $405,069. This is up only by a couple $79…that’s right $79 marking the 3rd month of Canyon holding their median sales price within a $1,000 range. Where were we last year? $440,990.
So if we do a quick recap. We have 58-59% less inventory and our median sales price is down by $35,000-$45,000 for both counties? I thought supply and demand are what drive the market? Yes, they do, but the other factor is interest rates and that in my opinion is why we are seeing lower numbers.
Other Info -
They say a correction in a housing market is typically 10% and if we go off of those numbers, that’s exactly what we’re seeing and if we stick to the 10%, we still have a little bit more to go.
Is the market going to crash like so many people say? I don’t believe it will. I think we might see the numbers drop a little more and that we will probably hold our prices until something changes. Will we see prices like what we saw back in May and June of 2022? I doubt that and if we do, it will years out.
Another factor to take into consideration. If I recall correctly, around 70% of all home owners have interest rates under 4%. That would lead the other 30% to be cash or investment properties. That’s why I believe inventory is down, because the majority aren’t going to give up a 3% interest rate for a 7% rate.
Lastly, existing/resale homes in Ada that received a full price offer averaged 9 days on the market. Those that received offers over asking averaged 5 days and got a median over asking of $5,100. Those that received offers under asking averaged 34 days on the market and $23,400 under their original price.
I only mention this because for those looking at selling, it's crucial to have a plan of action, what to do if the home isn’t selling in the first week and how to find the right buyers immediately. You have 8 days, and after that, your chances of receiving a full price offer declines quickly.
If you’re looking at buying or selling, I’d love to chat and show you what my program offers.
When you think of Real Estate, think Joe Argon! 208.863.9198