Paradigm Real Estate

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09/25/2021

The Friday File: For the year ending 5/31/21, Nevada had the most legal sports wagering at $14.6 billion, resulting in $910 million in revenue and $61.4 million in taxes. NJ followed with a handle of $14.4 billion, $982 million in revenue, which was tops, and $121 million in taxes. Pennsylvania was....

09/24/2021

Despite the Federal Reserve’s interest rate setting committee expecting slower growth this year than they did when they met in June, they strongly signaled that they plan to begin tapering their monthly purchases of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities as early as 11/21 and end them by 22Q3. ...

08/13/2021

Y-o-Y July CPI came in at 5.4%, the same as last month, it’s first non-rise since 11/20. Adding to the good news, M-o-Month price increases fell from 0.9% in June to 0.5% in July. Better yet, core CPI be it measured Y-o-Y or M-o-M declined. The Y-o-Y and M-o-M declines suggest that base-effect and...

08/12/2021

While there’s talk of substantial wage growth, some perspective please. Since monthly inflation, as measured by the CPI, began visibly rising in 2/21, it’s rise has exceeded the monthly rise in average hourly earnings every month! This means real wages are steadily declining! Moreover, after pea...

08/11/2021

The bipartisan $1 trillion infrastructure bill that recently passed in the Senate will boost GDP just marginally because it includes only $550 billion in new spending to be disbursed over five to eight years, much of which will be paid for with higher taxes. Through 2029 this spending should boost G...

08/07/2021

The Friday File: Prior to this Olympics, only five athletes had won Olympic medals in both the summer and winter games, including two men and three women, two of which are Americans. With the USA men in the gold medal game in baseball, Eddy Alvarez is the sixth, having also won a silver medal at the...

08/05/2021

As government stimulus slowly fades, the personal savings rate has generally declined from a one-month peak of 33.8% in 4/20 to the current rate of 9.4%, slightly above the pre-covid rate of 7.5%. This suggests that the abnormal addition to savings from stimulus checks and the lockdown is ending. Wh...

08/04/2021

Inflation, as calculated by the Fed’s favorite measure Core-PCE, was 3.54% Y-o-Y in June, up just marginally from 3.44% in May, suggesting that Peak Inflation is probably here. A key reason inflation isn’t worse, unlike other recessions there’s little pent-up demand for goods but lots for serv...

08/03/2021

Having now seen the 21Q2 GDP data and June household income and spending data, my initial estimate (please don’t call it a guess) of 21Q3 GDP is 6.5%. It could go as high as 9% or as low as 4%. My baseline assumptions: household consumption’s contribution to quarterly GDP growth softens from the...

07/30/2021

Following yesterday’s meeting, the Fed suggested that tapering of its monthly purchases of Treasuries and MBS could begin as early as fall. But, with this morning’s softer than expected 21Q3 GDP growth number of 6.5% as opposed to the 8.5% expected, I highly doubt it. GDP is now above its 12/31/...

07/29/2021

After instantaneously falling to 5%, the percentage of persons working in an office building slowly rose to 20% by late 10/20. It then reversed and steadily fell to just 10% by Christmas. Since, it’s consistently risen and is now 25%. The city with the highest percentage of persons in the office i...

07/22/2021

While house price appreciation is blowing past wage appreciation, reducing affordability, there are countervailing forces. Rates remain low, and critically, US household wealth grew by a staggering $13.5 trillion in 2020, half from equities. However, stock and home ownership are not evenly distribut...

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Colorado Springs, CO
80921

Opening Hours

Monday 8am - 7pm
Tuesday 8am - 7pm
Wednesday 8am - 7pm
Thursday 8am - 7pm
Friday 8am - 7pm
Saturday 8am - 7pm
Sunday 8am - 7pm

Telephone

+17193326807

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