James Fisher Real Estate Expert

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09/06/2020

Good morning everyone! Quick rundown of the current housing market conditions. 100-300K = Sellers market, 300-500 = Even market, 500K+ = Buyers market. Covid has created a unique situation in our markets where it is not just a buyer's market or a seller's market, but it rather depends on the price point. Because of Covid earlier this year many people/first time home buyers buying at lower price points that weren't able to buy homes in the past were able to save up money and pay off debts due to making more money on unemployment then they were at there jobs. This coupled with the fact that they weren't able to spend any of that income because everything was closed, has created the perfect storm for creating many new and first time home buyers, which is creating a ton of pressure on the market from 100-300k. Since builders do not build homes in that price range, it's simply a supply and demand problem. Now if you're in the upper echelon of the market 500k+, the market is stagnant also because of Covid. This group of people are making a lot less than usual on unemployment, or are business owners that have been suffering, and many of them not able to receive PPP loans. This is then coupled with lending requirements getting tighter on jumbo loans, and rates becoming less favorable at those price points due to lender fears of forclosure. This has all created the need for many people to sell, but not that many buyers in the market, so yet another supply and demand problem in the other direction. Hopefully this all evens out soon, because there is a lot of frustration for people looking to buy at the lower end and people to sell at the higher end. The good news is if you're looking to sell a home at the lower end (100-300k) and buy one at a higher end (500k+) right now, the world is your oyster!

Marketing your home and buying are different during this covid era. Reach out to me to find out how to market your home ...
05/30/2020

Marketing your home and buying are different during this covid era. Reach out to me to find out how to market your home properly.

Today we'll talk about interest rates and the housing market with the Corona virus.  If the federal funds rate dropped a...
03/13/2020

Today we'll talk about interest rates and the housing market with the Corona virus. If the federal funds rate dropped a week ago, why are interest rates for homes going up? (See attachments)
A week or so ago the fed dropped the prime lending rate a 1/2 a percent, yet during the last week interest rates on home mortgages have climbed a 1/2 a percent. These things should correlate and not be inverted. The reason the interest rates are rising is because of the fear the banks have of the Corona virus, and people's abilities to pay back their mortgages due to time off work. These banks are also trying to hedge against what their forclosure computer models are showing them. If you're thinking of refinancing or buying now may be a good time to while all current loan programs are still available, and rates are still low.

Is the Corona virus going to affect the value of your home? Unfortunately I believe the answer is yes and here is why. T...
03/12/2020

Is the Corona virus going to affect the value of your home? Unfortunately I believe the answer is yes and here is why. There is a ton of statistical information showing that we are on the brink of a recession and Covid-19 is going to push us over the edge. With the closing of all large events, and the decreased spending with people staying in, as well as the incurred medical expenses, it is estimated the US will loose 420 billion in revenue this year. That means a lot of people will be staying home and not working in a very short period of time here. The problem is most Americans cannot afford to be out of work for more than 2 weeks. We then add in the crippling consumer debt of 1.54 trillion (which is now more than the than the 1.41 trillion we saw in the crash of 2009), and student loan debt at an unprecedented 1.641 trillion which are both figures of the Federal reserve board, we are set for the fire to begin. Let's now talk about key indicators of a recession. First off if the Dow loses at least 20% from it's high within a 2 month period, it is considered to be a recession. The high was Feb 12 2020 at 29551.42, today (3/12/20) it closed at 21200.62 which is a 28.26% loss. Secondly every time we have an inverted yield curve in the bond market there is a recession within 22 months. The bond market first inverted Aug 14 2019 for the first time since 07 (attached is the graph). 3rd US manufacturing has slowed to its lowest amount in 10 years. The PMI purchasing manager index dropped to 49.9 in August of 19 for the first time since 09, and has hovered around 50 since. Any point when the pmi is 50 or less a recession starts. Bottom line - all the indicators are there, and Covid-19 is going to push us over the edge whether we want to believe it or not. If you have a higher end home (400k+) and are thinking about selling/downsizing now is the time to sell because higher end homes are going to get hit first.

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2730 Union Lake Road
Commerce Township, MI
48382

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