09/22/2023
We are still here!
A main component of our company is to provide owned urban housing to young middle-class buyers.
In other words, giving Millennials the same opportunity to own in-town real estate that their parents and grandparents had.
And we still will. In fact, when the current interest rate spike ends, the shortage of housing in our urban centers for first-time buyers will have reached unparalleled levels. And the demand will be higher than ever. (Even immigration is working to fill up every available urban housing unit – a few are being built right now).
So our company will be more ripe than ever to build our co-owned housing, sell homes, earn a profit, and do it again and again.
As frustrating as it is, however, we must wait until mortgage rates start heading lower so that construction lenders will get back in the lending business. Housing requires a lot of capital, and banks have mostly stopped lending (don’t even get me started on my opinion of that).
We wish that we could start our projects today because I firmly believe that rates will be in the 5%s by the time our houses/townhouses are completed.
You may recall that mortgage rates tend to follow the 10-Year Treasury, which keeps rising at the moment, to record levels for the past 17 years.
However, most experts, including the Mortgage Bankers Association, project that the 10 Year Treasury will drop by 2025 and that 30-year mortgage rates will drop with it (mba predicts (in August 2023) that mortgage rates will be in the 4%s in 2025).
We have a $33T national debt, so do the math on refinancing that long-term at 4%+, and you can quickly figure out why the Fed and all other parties need to eventually lower rates. We cannot afford to pay $1.3T yearly in interest alone on our debt.
At even 5% mortgage rates, our co-owned units will be very successful (ie less than renting in most cities), and in great demand in multiple cities, and we will be ready to meet that demand.
We are working now to finalize co-op documents, advertising materials, and share loan materials.
So we are still here (in our office in Denver), we are working every day, we will be successful, and we will honor our initial investors with a great company, and our upside is larger than ever.
Please contact me at 303 802 6700 anytime. I am always glad to talk about the good days ahead.