04/02/2026
Where are we today on the 30-year mortgage rates? Clearly the Iran War (not a political statement) has had impacts on the 10-year Treasury / 30-year mortgage rate twins. The dip and rise and rates that had fallen below 6% and now back to 6.35% is clear in the graphs.
What does this mean for real estate? We had seen an inkling of renewed Buyer activity in February and March with the drop in interest rates. Mortgage refinance activity was up, new applications were up, and we saw a rise in closings. The return of Buyers to the market was notable - though not yet pronounced this early in the season.
With this recent rise in interest rates, we will likely see a delay in Buyer purchases further into the summer sales season even if rates drop gain. At this point, the hope is that the externalities of wars and other political or economic shock events get resolved quickly allowing Buyer confidence to return, which also has an impact on Seller confidence.