09/15/2026
The Atlantic could have its first hurricane-free year.
Dive tropical storms had formed in the Atlantic basin in 2026, but none as of September 12 had strengthened into a hurricane.
AccuWeather meteorologists say a season with no hurricanes is possible. The last such year in historical records was 1914, although storms could have escaped detection before satellites monitored the oceans.
A strengthening El Niño is a major reason for the unusual quiet.
The climate pattern can increase wind shear over the tropical Atlantic. These disruptive winds make it harder for storms to organize and intensify.
But a hurricane-free year is a possibility, not the main forecast. AccuWeather’s September 12 update still projected eight to 11 named storms overall, including three or four hurricanes.
The season officially continues through November 30, leaving time for conditions to become favorable. Forecasters identified late September into early October as a possible window for increased activity.
Meanwhile, El Niño tends to favor more hurricane activity in the Pacific, where this season has already brought damaging storms.
A quiet Atlantic also does not mean an absence of danger. Tropical storms have already brought flooding to the Gulf Coast without reaching hurricane strength.
The potential milestone concerns hurricanes forming anywhere in the Atlantic basin, not simply hurricanes making landfall in the United States.
Learn more:
"There could be no Atlantic hurricanes this year – but there’s a catch."