10/20/2020
Solving a September Puzzle
Perhaps the safer-at-home lifestyle has meant more time on your hands – an extra half hour here or there to fiddle with the crossword or the brain teaser in the back of the morning newspaper.
Well here’s a puzzle for you. Better yet, let’s call it a story problem.
Demand and supply going different directions
Demand for housing in Northern Colorado is rampant. In September, home sales increased in nearly every local city and town by double-digit percentages over September 2019, ranging from 15 percent growth in Greeley to 112 percent in Berthoud. That’s right: 1-1-2.
At the same time, the supply of houses for sale keeps sinking, particularly in the larger communities. Inventory in Fort Collins is down 43 percent from September 2019, Greeley 47 percent and Loveland 54 percent.
Can you figure out what that means for Northern Colorado’s real estate market?
It’s competitive … and it’s complicated
With these two market forces at odds, homebuyers have to hustle. Homes that are available aren’t available for long. And more competition for fewer opportunities means multiple offers on each house, and more scenarios with cash offers.
But wait. If I can’t buy the existing house I want, what about just building new? After all, aren’t interest rates at record lows for home loans? Maybe that’s my answer to the puzzle?
Yes. And no.
Indeed, mortgage rates are ripe for the picking and today’s buying power is extra sweet. But at the same time, there are challenges. The cost of building materials (lumber, etc.) keeps going up, water prices are increasing, and the fallout from the Covid-19 pandemic is making it challenging to get supplies on time.
That said, there are some fantastic builders in our region who are building in some choice locations. So, the answer to Northern Colorado’s real estate puzzle?
It’s complicated.
We put together some of the pieces of the puzzle
in our Monthly Market Report.