07/26/2021
On the Fort Worth side of the Metroplex, the real estate market is just as challenging for buyers as everywhere else in the region. While several factors caused the 2008 financial crisis, there were several safeguards put into place with the intention to lower the risk of another one. However, not all current safeguards actually protect consumers and actually raise the cost of purchasing a home. Good but ineffective intentions could allow lenders to get themselves into another crisis scenario. Prices are going up where demand is going up. However, some lenders are making the mistake of allowing customers borrow more money than they should. Appraisers are again under pressure to provide the highest values possible but fortunately, most are pushing back with solid justification why a home isn’t worth $20k to $40k more than its original asking price.
Could there be another proverbial bubble to burst? Yes but from what I see, it’s likely to be limited to certain regions of the United States. As long as mortgage lenders control the impulse to be greedy, the safeguards that are effective will come into play and allow reasonable value increases. Higher values are more manageable when not excessive so if there is a downturn in the market, lenders are less likely to see borrowers abandoning properties using the “deed in lieu of foreclosure” method.
State legislators can also help by restricting loan to value rations when it comes to refinancing. There is a high level of temptation for people to stay in their homes but effectively sell it to a lender by constantly refinancing until they can’t. When I moved from California to Texas, I initially thought it was unfortunate that the state limited the loan to value ratio of refinance loans. But, by limiting borrowers to refinance to a maximum of 80% of the appraised value, it keeps people in the game so they won’t risk the rest of their equity. I quickly grew to appreciate the wisdom in this limit. Texas weathered through the recession better than states like California where in 2008, people in the real estate industry and property owners suffered immediately and for much a longer period of time before the state’s economy recovered.
Over-regulating an industry can create higher costs of doing business which are passed on to consumers. It can also hurt people who were intended to be helped. However, if pro-consumer groups could work with lenders, Realtors, and legislators at the state and federal level, we’d likely see better regulatory actions being taken which protect everyone and the removal of those regulations which interfere with good commerce.
https://guide.freddiemac.com/app/guide/section/4301.7
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