05/07/2026
Since 2020, real estate has gone through a wild cycle:
Ultra-low rates (under 3%)
Prices surged
Rates doubled (6–7%+)
But prices didn’t crash
So what gives?
The common take is:
“Low rates drove prices up, so high rates should bring them down.”
Sounds logical—but it’s incomplete.
Here’s what actually happened:
When rates were low, buyers gained massive purchasing power → demand exploded → prices rose fast.
Then rates jumped… but something unexpected happened:
Homeowners stayed put.
Why sell a home with a 2.75% mortgage just to buy another at 7%?
That “lock-in effect” crushed inventory:
Fewer sellers
Limited supply
Prices stayed supported
So yes—rates impact prices.
But they also impact supply.
And in this cycle, demand dropped… but supply dropped just as much.
That’s why we didn’t see a major price correction nationally.
—
Now, the question I get almost daily:
“Is it a good time to buy?”
Here are a few facts to consider:
Trying to “time the market” is extremely difficult—even for professionals
Prices are driven locally, not just nationally
If rates come down, demand will likely increase again
Increased demand can put upward pressure on prices
Waiting for lower rates could mean facing more competition
The real conversation isn’t just about timing—it’s about:
Your financial position
Your time horizon
Your monthly payment comfort
Because in today’s market, buyers aren’t choosing between high prices or high rates…
They’re navigating both.