10/31/2025
Thanks Tom Michalek of United Home Loans for this great market summary call Me or Tom to get the buying sellingpro ess started. On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve announced this year’s second rate cut of 0.25%, bringing us to the lowest Federal Reserve rate in three years. Will mortgage rates go down further? How are the markets reacting? This Friday, we have a memo on what the rate cut means for your buyers. Spoiler alert: We don’t know yet, and here’s why.
“... not a foregone conclusion…”
Remember, mortgage rates typically fall in anticipation of a rate cut, and not because a rate cut has happened. Wednesday’s cut was expected to be the second of three total this year. Well, something that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said during the announcement has temporarily thrown the anticipation of the third one up in the air. The key takeaway quote was, “A further reduction in the policy rate at the December meeting is not a foregone conclusion. Far from it.”
Without key data
At the close of the markets on Wednesday, one might describe the overall reaction as “mixed feelings.” Adding to the uncertainty of Powell’s statement is the fact that this rate cut was made without some of the key federal economic data that typically backs up a cut, due to the government shutdown. The Fed qualified the cut with an assessment of broad economic conditions, but that’s not a metric the markets can really go by. Without access to inflation and jobs reports, again, anticipation is hard to formulate.
The good news is that the average 30-year rate has already fallen by 0.58% since the anticipation of the last rate cut started. Whether rates inch up or down, your buyers are still in a much better position right now to secure an affordable mortgage.
If you missed last week’s email, check out what the dollar amount difference is when it comes to inching rates. It might give your buyers more peace of mind than any market behavior could. In the meantime, I will be standing by, ready to update you on rates and predictions in the coming weeks.