08/24/2026
Everyone's chasing the shiny object. I'm hunting the rails underneath it.
When a trend gets crowded, I stop asking "who wins? for example GPT/Geminai/Perplexity/Claude?" and start asking "what does every player need to keep playing?" That's the infrastructure play. The rails. The chessboard everyone is fighting on.
Here's what I mean — across industries:
🤖 AI
Thousands of startups are building "wrappers" on top of the LLMs like ChatGPT and Claude. Brutal competition.
The rails: NVIDIA sells the chips. TSMC fabricates them. CoreWeave rents the compute. They don't care which AI app wins.
🚀 Space
I have no idea which biotech will crack the next zero-gravity drug breakthrough.
The rails: They all need SpaceX to get there. The drugs may come and go. The on-ramp doesn't.
🛒 E-commerce
Shopify and Stripe didn't pick winning brands.
The rails: They powered millions of them — and collected a fee on every transaction either way.
🌿 Cannabis
Most growers got crushed by federal restrictions and oversupply.
The rails: Innovative Industrial Properties (IIPR) bought the real estate underneath them and turned chaos into a steady REIT.
🔋 EVs
Tesla, Rivian, Lucid, and Ford are slugging it out for market share.
The rails: Lithium miners and charging networks keep eating regardless of who wins the showroom.
📺 Streaming
Netflix, Disney+, Max, and Paramount are bleeding billions fighting for eyeballs.
The rails: Cloudflare and Akamai carry the traffic for all of them.
🏢 Real Estate & Syndications (my home turf)
Operators come and go. Markets cycle. But:
Cell tower and data center REITs (American Tower, Equinix) own the dirt under the entire digital economy.
Industrial REITs (Prologis) own the warehouses every e-commerce brand has to lease.
Title companies and 1031 intermediaries collect a fee on every transaction whether the market is up or down. I think there is something looming to disrupt this industry in the next five years ;)
Property management software (AppFolio, Yardi) charges every landlord — small or large — every single month.
Mobile home park land is the rail underneath affordable housing.
⛏️ The Classic
In the 1849 Gold Rush, most miners went broke.
Levi Strauss sold them denim pants and built a 175-year-old company.
The lens I use on every trend now:
→ Don't bet on who wins the race.
→ Bet on whoever sells the shovels, fuel, and paves the road.
When everyone's playing the game, own the board.
What's an infrastructure play you're watching right now? Drop it in the comments — always hunting for new chessboards.