06/23/2026
For the last three years, there was a phenomenon quietly strangling housing supply called the 'lock-in effect.'
Here's what happened: millions of homeowners refinanced or bought at 2.5–3.5% mortgage rates during 2020 and 2021. When rates jumped to 6–7%, they refused to sell — because selling meant giving up that rate and getting a new mortgage at twice the cost. So they stayed put.
That decision, multiplied by millions of homeowners, is one of the main reasons inventory was so scarce from 2022–2024.
Now, slowly, that's changing.
As rates have eased to 6.3% — and as life happens (divorce, death, retirement, growing families, job relocations) — more of those locked-in homeowners are deciding to move regardless. The lock-in effect is thawing.
Inventory is up 9% this year in part because of this. And as rates continue to ease, more sellers who've been waiting will enter the market.
For buyers: this means more options are coming. Patience has a payoff.
For sellers who have been waiting for 'the right time': rates may not drop dramatically. Life doesn't wait. Your equity is real right now.
DM me and let's talk about your situation honestly.