08/10/2026
Time in the market beats timing the market, and CRE data backs that up.
This chart shows the probability that commercial property prices were higher after each rolling holding period, from 1 to 120 months.
Short-term, values swing with rates and headlines. But stretch the hold out, and the odds of being up climb fast, longer holds have historically smoothed out volatility and rewarded patient capital.
That's the case for CRE as a long-term asset: it's less about calling the bottom, more about staying in long enough for fundamentals to do the work.
The pattern is clear.
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