Aaron AList Team

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Berkshire Hathaway just made an $8.5 billion bet on housing.Let that sink in for a moment.For the last three years, we'v...
06/05/2026

Berkshire Hathaway just made an $8.5 billion bet on housing.

Let that sink in for a moment.

For the last three years, we've heard endless headlines about affordability challenges, elevated mortgage rates, and slower home sales. Yet one of the most disciplined capital allocators in history just decided now was the time to significantly expand its position in homebuilding.

Berkshire Hathaway doesn't have a reputation for chasing trends. Historically, the company looks for businesses it believes are undervalued, durable, and positioned to generate strong long-term returns.

That's why this acquisition caught my attention.

To me, this isn't necessarily a signal that housing inventory is about to disappear or that prices are about to skyrocket. In fact, inventory in many markets still has room to grow, and we're continuing to work through the effects of several years of market adjustment.

What it does suggest is that one of the world's most successful investment organizations sees long-term value in housing despite today's challenges.

When sales volumes have been suppressed for several years, the biggest opportunities are often found by those willing to look beyond the current headlines.

The housing market doesn't need to be perfect for great investments to be made. It simply needs to be better tomorrow than it is today.

So here's my question:

Are you currently invested in real estate?

If not, what's the biggest thing holding you back?

06/04/2026

Evaluating rental property investments can be time consuming and if you do it wrong you could loose a lot of cash! These are the 7 steps every beginner needs to know before they make a mistake.

06/03/2026

Terrible investment... I just can't believe they did this.

06/02/2026

Which investment is better? When getting started in real estate investing it's hard to figure out what type of rental property you should buy first. The truth is both multi-family properties and single-family properties have pros and cons. Lets discuss the top 3 pros and cons here and 2 questions that you can ask yourself today to figure out what path you need to be on.

I almost didn't post when I left my W-2 job.Not because I wasn't excited.Because I was scared.Scared of what people woul...
06/01/2026

I almost didn't post when I left my W-2 job.

Not because I wasn't excited.

Because I was scared.

Scared of what people would think.
Scared of failing publicly.
Scared that if things didn't work out, everyone would know.

If you've ever started a business, you probably know that feeling.

But looking back, I've realized something:

The bigger risk wasn't posting.

The bigger risk would have been building a business and never telling anyone it existed.

When you leave a W-2 job, there are three things worth remembering:

1️⃣ Most people aren't judging you nearly as much as you think.

The fear of being judged is often worse than the reality. In fact, many people are quietly rooting for you because they wish they had the courage to take a chance on themselves.

2️⃣ Your network can't support what they don't know about.

They can't refer you.
They can't introduce you to opportunities.
They can't become customers.

If nobody knows what you're building, you're making success much harder than it needs to be.

3️⃣ The announcement isn't the marketing strategy.

The post saying you started a business is just the beginning.

The real work is consistently showing up, sharing what you're learning, demonstrating your expertise, and building trust over time.

That's what turns connections into opportunities.

Whether you're starting a business, changing careers, or pursuing something new, remember this:

Visibility creates opportunity.

And sometimes the post you're afraid to make is the one that opens the next door.

Have you ever hesitated to share a big career move publicly? What was holding you back?

05/28/2026

Two investors. Same goal: $5,000/month in rental cash flow.
Very different timelines. 👀
One investor sets aside $500/month.
Another invests $2,500/month.
Neither strategy is “wrong” — but the speed, flexibility, and opportunities along the way can look completely different. The real key is understanding how your buying power today affects your freedom tomorrow.
The biggest mistake investors make isn’t starting small… it’s starting with no plan at all.
Your timeline to financial freedom is usually predictable when you reverse engineer the numbers. 📈🏡

05/26/2026

There are 2 types of real estate investors:
🏠 Investor #1 chases deals.
They look and look and look for the “perfect property”… then hope everything works out exactly as projected.
📈 Investor #2 builds a strategy first.
They start with the end goal:
• How much passive income do I want?
• When do I want financial freedom?
• How many properties will it take?
• What markets fit the plan?
• Who can help me source and manage them efficiently?
One investor buys properties.
The other builds a system.
The investors who scale the fastest usually aren’t working harder — they’re working backwards from a clear target and making intentional decisions along the way.
Rental property investing becomes a lot simpler when every purchase has a purpose.

Kevin Warsh takes over the Fed this week. Everyone is saying he'll bring mortgage rates down.I'm not buying it.Here's wh...
05/15/2026

Kevin Warsh takes over the Fed this week. Everyone is saying he'll bring mortgage rates down.

I'm not buying it.

Here's what most people get wrong about the Fed and mortgage rates:

The Fed sets the federal funds rate — that's overnight lending between banks. Short-term debt. Credit cards. HELOCs. Auto loans.

Mortgage rates don't follow the fed funds rate. They follow the 10-year Treasury yield. And the 10-year is priced by the bond market, not by the Fed chair.

So when Warsh cuts the fed funds rate — and he probably will — it won't automatically move your 30-year fixed rate. We saw this play out already: the Fed cut rates multiple times in late 2024 and early 2025, and mortgage rates barely budged.

Now here's the twist nobody's talking about.

Warsh has been vocal about wanting to shrink the Fed's balance sheet. The Fed currently holds ~$6.7 trillion in assets — a massive chunk of that in Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities. When the Fed was buying those bonds, it was propping up demand, keeping yields lower than they'd naturally be.

Warsh wants to reverse that. Fewer buyers in the bond market = more supply chasing fewer bidders = upward pressure on yields.

So the guy everyone thinks will lower mortgage rates is actually pursuing a policy that could push them higher. Or at best, keep them right where they are.

But here's the part that matters more — and where I think people are focused on the wrong thing entirely:

Housing doesn't need lower rates to recover.

We have 65% more Americans today than in 1971. The U.S. population has grown from 208 million to 343 million. Yet we're selling roughly 4 million existing homes per year — the same volume as the mid-1990s, when there were 70 million fewer people in this country.

On a per-capita basis, home sales are at their lowest point in 55 years of data.

That's not a rate problem. That's a structural supply problem.

The rate lock-in effect has frozen inventory. Homeowners sitting on 3% mortgages aren't listing. New construction still hasn't caught up to household formation. And demand — both from owner-occupants and rental demand — keeps compounding with population growth.

Every cycle, investors who wait for "the right rate environment" miss the window. The investors who bought properties in 1981-83, when rates were 16% and everyone else was paralyzed, locked in assets that appreciated for the next decade as the market normalized.

The opportunity isn't in the rate. It's in the lack of competition while everyone else waits for a rate that may never come.

Stop watching the Fed. Start watching the supply.

05/14/2026

Is the housing market going to crash in 2026? Although no one has every successfully predicted every crash we can learn a lot from data and see when correlation of data does not always equal causation. What we are seeing today is very similar to what we saw in the 1970s and 1980s. What is different today?

05/12/2026

Kevin Warsh will not be lowering mortgage rates. The mortgage rates are not controlled by the Federal Reserve. In fact Kevin is pushing to reduce the purchase of US Treasuries the Fed buys. This could actually put some upward pressure on mortgages. That being said mortgage rates have never historically tanked housing markets. They have shocked markets which creates a slow down for sure. In the 1970s and 1980s we saw this play out multiple times. This time is quite similar but Kevin is proposing a new way forward to keep inflation from coming back.

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