05/30/2026
What's the outlook?
After a slow March, April resembled the typical busy spring housing season in East Tennessee. Sales jumped nearly 9% over April 2025 as sellers added fresh inventory. Buyers appear to be less sensitive to mortgage rate movements after enduring several months of weekly ups and downs. Encouragingly, pending sales were also up nearly 20% over last year.
For the second month in a row, the median home sale price has been lower than 2025 despite the increased sales activity; the nearly six-year streak of rapid price appreciation appears to be over.
Contrary to recent news articles, East Tennessee homes are not "overpriced." The list-to-sale ratio remains steady at 98.7%, and nearly half of homes sold at or above the list price in April.
Thankfully, the continued demand and slow pace of easing growth has created an ideal scenario. Rather than a sharp correction from post-pandemic price highs, premiums are slowly easing while the underlying value of the homes holds up well. This is good news for homeowners, buyers and sellers alike, and for our regional economic health.
However, this doesn't mean homes have become affordable to most residents. Inventory is still a constraint, remaining tight in the mid-to-lower price tiers where demand is fiercest and potential buyers are value conscious. Many of the single-family listings being added this spring are in the "luxury" range; in April, 16% of all new listings were priced over $1 million.
Consider that the annual median household income in our region is approximately $75,000, meaning that family might comfortably afford a $275,000 home.* In April, East Tennessee only added 629 listings priced at or under $275,000. By contrast, the market added 2,610 listings priced above $275,000.
As the East Tennessee market continues to recover and shows healthy indicators of growing sales, performance will vary widely depending on price range, location and availability of inventory.
*Assuming 30% of gross monthly income allocated to housing costs , 5% down payment, 6.6% 30-yr FRM, includes property tax and home insurance.