04/29/2022
The impact of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on CRE is two-fold depending on the transaction side. For investment property owners, the impact stems from long-term leases w/ fixed rents over an extended period of time; such as NNN single-tenant net leases…i.e…CVS, Walgreens, etc. During said period, Owners are hampered w/ extremely limited opportunity to achieve rent increases; a percentage that’s optimal for keeping pace with the inflation rate. As a result, increased operating expenses from supply chain disruption continue to mount as the discount value on today’s dollar steadily erodes income and return on investment. From the Buyer’s side, spending is lessened due to rising interest rates as a rapid pace. Traditionally, every ½ percent rate increase translates to approximately -5% decrease in purchasing power. High GDP shifts elevated costs of materials to builders for new construction thus trickling down to consumers in the form of increased purchase pricing. Will be interesting to see how the current scenario plays out; high consumer demand, supply chain constraints, elevated cost of goods, rising interest rate vs the pattern of consumer spending.