06/20/2023
I had an interesting conversation with a real estate agent in NC yesterday and she mentioned a more than likely scenario that has really stuck with me. I’ve worked with this agent for over 4 years and I truly trust her opinion. Yes, interest rates and even loan costs are high right now and the majority of people interested in purchasing a new primary residence or even an investment property have put their home searches on hold until the market straightens out. I wouldn’t have necessarily argued that and I don’t love “selling” my opinions as facts, but she did shed some light on what happened during Covid and what will probably happen again in the next 12 months. During Covid, we saw an enormous amount of buyers, causing a longer than 2 year stretch of multiple offer situations that really did knock a lot of great buyers out of the running. It was demoralizing and so stressful for a lot of my clients. While it wasn’t impossible to purchase a home at or below listing price or with lower than 20% down payment or even using FHA, USDA, or VA loan programs… it made it very very difficult. So many people settled on homes they normally wouldn’t have purchased, just because there were less offers to compete with or they got out completely. Currently, it’s much easier to purchase with those scenarios based on the market, but for how long? The buyers with huge down payments and willingness to grossly pay over listing price didn’t go away, even though it seems they have. They’ve put their assets aside and are pausing their search, waiting patiently to jump back in. Once the market calms and the rates and costs relax a bit, we are most likely going to see the same situations we saw during Covid. That is seemingly an inevitable reaction.
So, I’ll leave you with this… If someone is looking to purchase a home now or in the future without wanting to put 20% down and at a higher price, should they look at buying sooner than later and taking advantage of the window we are in, before every listing has 10 offers to compete with? If you believe, like I do, that the market will calm in the next 12 months, you would rest assured that you’d only pay higher interest for a short time, before refinancing when the market cooled, right? Especially if you are a current renter, where your monthly payments work to payoff your landlords mortgage and not your own. In short, most people may not be looking at this current mortgage market as an advantage and an opportunity, but it very well could be. I feel that we may look back in time and see a missed opportunity. What are your thoughts?
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