02/17/2024
Consider a "Portfolio of Lots" in Mexico Beach.
Older stock market investors remember the 'dogs of the Dow' strategy. Some people seek property in up and coming areas. Others will buy the worst property in a neighborhood hoping to gain from renovation. But what about the idea of building an active portfolio of lots?
You might say, I would like to buy the ten 'cheapest lots' in Mexico Beach, and see what happens appreciation-wise. You could always keep your portfolio at 'ten' selling lots when opportune, and buying the next least expensive lot. My city of Mexico Beach has 2,644 parcels or which about 750 are vacant lots which could be built upon (usually with a single family home). These lots are like currency for some people. Some vacant lots haven't sold in forty years; others sell repeatedly over the years as investments. What is amazing is that 55% of these currently vacant lots have sold at least once during the past five years (and have not been built upon, yet). So what is going on here? It looks like vacant lots might be a good investment, a form of 'currency' that is appreciating.
Today, MB has 37 vacant lots for sale which are priced between $150k and $3m. Two years ago, many lots could be had for $$65-95k; not any more. Now, how much would the ten cheapest lots cost simply at listing price with no haggling? $1,868,700. What is interesting is the turnover "at the bottom". On March 1, 2023, the ten cheapest lots would have required an investment of $1,449,500. So, in nine months, the ten cheapest single family home buildable lots has increased in cost by 29%. Interestingly, only one for sale on December 1 was also for sale on March 1, which means that everything available on March 1 is gone for the purposes of investment or imminent building.
This stair-stepping of cost has been increasing for the five years since Hurricane Michael. Interestingly, there's never more than a few dozen lots for sale at any one point in time. Your portfolio of ten lots would likely cause an immediate ten more to 'crack-off' the unbuilt pile, and become listed. Over time, the value of your ten would rise, not only ratably with inflation and general increasing value, but in lumps when someone desired the exact lot you possess to be near a relative, on a key street, or because it faces the right way.
With between 750 and 800 such lots, this stair-stepping could continue for quite some time until MB becomes much more dense like some of the more built up communities west of Panama City. How about a portfolio of lots?! Could be a good idea if you have the right time horizon and a CPA for a Realtor like me. Please call me at 850-899-0824 to discuss. Opportunities like this were available in Destin, Fort Walton, and Gulf Breeze long ago. Today, there are a few families doing this right now in MB, and as time goes by, they look like real estate scholars.