06/13/2022
๐ก ๐๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐๐ป๐ฒ ๐ญ๐ฏ, ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฎ
๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฝ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐น๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ: ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐บ๐ผ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ต๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐
Rates moved quite a bit higher last week, as investors rushed to price in more aggressive Fed rate hikes after Friday's inflation data came in hotter than expected. Since mortgage rates are based on the pricing of mortgage bonds and not on the Fed funds rate, we see the resulting higher rates now as markets react and not when the Fed actually raises rates.
๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ด๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐๐: ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ถ๐น๐น ๐ฏ๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐น๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐น๐ฒ โ ๏ธ
Mortgage rates this week are likely to be volatile as investors react to the news coming from the Fed at this week's Fed meeting. Markets try to price in Fed moves before they happen, and this caused mortgage rates to move sharply. If the Fed calms investors' fears, we could actually see rates improve this week. However, if investors are concerned the Fed will have to raise rates faster to curb inflation, we could see mortgage rates react negatively to the news and move higher.
๐๏ธ ๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐'๐ ๐ฎ๐ณ๐ณ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ:
- Inflation. Last week's higher than expected inflation data has sent rates rising.
- The Fed. Rates will move according to market reactions to this week's Fed meeting, including how much the Fed raises the policy rate, the Fed members' forecast of future rate hikes, and Fed Chair Powell's press conference.